Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 10

Date: 14 June 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere, SporTV


	Operário Ferroviario		Santos

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3.4	3	2.25
	3.65	3	2.36
	3.65	2.93	2.36
	3.3	3.1	2.2
	3.39	3.1	2.24	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.12)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)	2.28 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
27.2%

Draw
31.5%

Santos
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

32.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

32.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	41.7%	25%

Operário Ferroviario - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Operário PR: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Santos (C) 2. Ocampos S. 30. Joseph 4. Willian Machado 6. Para 55. Jacy 5. Indio 7. Rodrigo Farofa 70. Pedro Lucas 99. Daniel Lima 77. Maxwell	77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 4. Gil 6. Joaquim 31. Escobar G. 5. Joao Schmidt 21. Diego Pituca (C) 20. Giuliano 7. Pedrinho 27. Willian Bigode 3. Hayner
Substitutes
10. Cassio Gabriel 17. Erik Bessa 21. Fagner Alemao 9. Felipe Garcia 38. Filipe Claudino 91. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 18. Gui Azevedo 13. Lucas Hipolito 20. Marco Antonio 31. Ronald 90. Ronaldo 8. Vinicius Diniz	13. Aderlan 2. Alex Nascimento 25. Alison Lopes 12. Diogenes (G) 9. Furch J. 11. Guilherme 34. Jundi G. (G) 22. Otero R. 88. Patrick 29. Rodrigo Ferreira 23. Sandry 37. Serginho
Coaches
Rafael Guanaes	Fabio Carille

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Willian Machado ⚽,
27', Hayner 🟨,
42', Jacy 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hayner ↓, Otero R. ↑,
54', Pedrinho 🟨,
61', Pedrinho ↓, Guilherme ↑,
61', Willian Bigode ↓, Furch J. ↑,
63', Joao Schmidt 🟨,
67', Ocampos S. ↓, Fagner Alemao ↑,
68', Indio ↓, Vinicius Diniz ↑,
75', Para 🟨,
78', Pedro Lucas ↓, Ronald ↑,
80', Daniel Lima ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
80', Joao Schmidt ↓, Serginho ↑,
81', Gil 🟨,
81', Vinicius Diniz 🟨,
86', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Rodrigo Ferreira ↑,
90+3', Rodrigo Farofa ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
90+11', Otero R. 🟨,
90+11', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 5).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Santos will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Operário Ferroviario: Felipe Augusto (Injury) Joao Denoni (Injury) Marcelo Cirino (Injury) Neto Paraiba (Red Card)

There will not play in Santos: Furch J. (Injury) Guilherme (Injury) Joao Paulo (Injury) Kevyson (Injury) Rodrigo Falcao (Injury) Zabala L. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
08.06.24	Guarani - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
03.06.24	Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
27.05.24	Coritiba - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
19.05.24	Operário Ferroviario - Ceará	0:0 ✺
15.05.24	Brusque - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLTT
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
07.06.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Santos	3:1 ✺
03.06.24	Santos - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
24.05.24	América Mineiro - Santos	2:1 ✺
19.05.24	Santos - Brusque	4:0 ✺
15.05.24	Ponte Preta - Santos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW

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