The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Moscow 43.7%
Draw 26%
Orenburg 30.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.7%
25%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
24%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
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Key Events of the Match
(2 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.
Lokomotiv has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Orenburg is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Lokomotiv is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv has recorded 13 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:17 (averaging 2.1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 16:6 goals (averaging 2:0.8 per game).