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Current Win Probability
Orenburg 22.2%
Draw 23.9%
Spartak Moscow 53.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.5%
24.2%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.6%
23.2%
57.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Orenburg - Spartak Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Spartak M will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Orenburg (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Orenburg (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 18. Moufi F. (C) 6. Palacios J. 4. Khotulev D. 3. Vedernikov D. 37. Du Queiroz 59. Avanesyan T. 16. Thompson J. 8. Puebla D. 7. Gurluk E. 9. Savelyev M.
98. Maksimenko A. (G) 97. Denisov D. 3. Wooh C. 4. Djiku A. 47. Zobnin R. (C) 18. Umyarov N. 68. Litvinov R. 83. Fernandes G. 5. Barco E. 10. Marquinhos 11. Garcia L.
Substitutes
19. Alexandre Jesus 57. Bolotov E. 29. El Mahraoui A. 27. Golybin R. 30. Guzina G. 38. Kasimov A. 78. Kul R. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 2. Poroykov S. 88. Rudakov M. (G) 5. Tataev A. 26. Tsenov E.
56. Dovbnya A. (G) 35. Martins C. 24. Massalyga N. 62. Polekh P. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 2. Reabciuk O. 7. Solari P. 40. Sorokin I. 9. Ugalde M. 91. Zabolotnyi A.
Coaches
Akhmetzyanov I.
Carcedo J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Garcia L. ⚽, Barco E. (A),
25', 0 - 2, Litvinov R. ⚽,
39', Marquinhos 🟨,
39', Avanesyan T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Avanesyan T. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
61', Garcia L. ↓, Ugalde M. ↑,
69', Gurluk E. ↓, El Mahraoui A. ↑,
79', Savelyev M. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
79', Du Queiroz ↓, Kul R. ↑,
82', Fernandes G. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
82', Barco E. ↓, Reabciuk O. ↑,
83', Vedernikov D. ↓, Golybin R. ↑,
88', Marquinhos ↓, Polekh P. ↑,
88', Umyarov N. ↓, Martins C. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Orenburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Spartak M is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S.
(Knee Injury)
Samoshnikov I.
(Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
Outrights of Russian Premier League for now
Spartak Moscow: 15.08% Orenburg: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Spartak Moscow
10
6
2
2
17:8
9
20
6
Orenburg
10
2
6
2
11:10
1
12
Last Results with these Odds
Spartak Moscow - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.3%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Russia
Serbia
Watch
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Ovsyannikov B. (G) 
Moufi F. (C) 
Palacios J. 
Du Queiroz 
Avanesyan T. 
Thompson J. 
Puebla D. 
Gurluk E. 
Wooh C. 
Djiku A. 
Fernandes G. 
Garcia L. 
Guzina G. 
Tsenov E. 
Martins C. 
Reabciuk O. 
Ugalde M. 
Carcedo J. 
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