Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 26

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Orenburg-2		Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil

	1	X	2
	2.47	2.83	2.94
	2.49	2.78	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.42)	2.81 ↓ (2.98)	2.91 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg-2
36.5%

Draw
32.3%

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

30.5%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg-2 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Orenburg 2 - Uralets TS Nizhny Tagil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Korobov V. (G) 79. Antsiperov D. 48. Antsiperov E. 83. Cherkasov D. 69. Davydov V. 65. Ivashchenko I. 70. Kapustyanskiy D. 63. Minatulaev O. 87. Nekrasov O. 25. Oleynik S. 61. Stolbov S.	1. Moskovets M. (G) 26. Anisimov A. 31. Burykin K. 8. Chuvilov V. 17. Galimov A. 40. Gorin M. 25. Khokhlov D. 88. Kiselev V. 55. Lauk M. 3. Smolnikov M. 72. Surmiy R.
Substitutes
89. Frolov Y. 62. Kalinichev M. 97. Kazhura S. 76. Klinov P. 91. Morozov I. 67. Pitintsev Y. 58. Polukhin D. 80. Pykhcheev M. 75. Tyulenev N. (G) 82. Vsyakikh I. 93. Zhelannikov A. 34. Zverev S.	13. Antipov N. 98. Dmitryuk A. 83. Geykin G. 5. Krotov S. 33. Musin A. 9. Podbeltsev A. 70. Sharafutdinov R. 24. Tarasov M. (G) 14. Zubarev E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Galimov A. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Stolbov S. ⚽,
55', Ivashchenko I. 🟨,
57', Khokhlov D. 🟨,
63', Kapustyanskiy D. ↓, Pitintsev Y. ↑,
64', Burykin K. ↓, Antipov N. ↑,
64', Kiselev V. ↓, Dmitryuk A. ↑,
64', Galimov A. ↓, Podbeltsev A. ↑,
71', Chuvilov V. 🟨,
72', Pitintsev Y. 🟨,
76', Smolnikov M. 🟨,
79', Lauk M. ↓, Sharafutdinov R. ↑,
79', Minatulaev O. ↓, Pykhcheev M. ↑,
79', Antsiperov E. ↓, Morozov I. ↑,
83', Surmiy R. ↓, Krotov S. ↑,
88', Cherkasov D. ↓, Polukhin D. ↑,
88', Antsiperov D. ↓, Vsyakikh I. ↑,
90+1', Nekrasov O. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 5).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Orenburg-2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orenburg-2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Orenburg-2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg-2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
12.10.25	Rubin 2 Kazan - Orenburg-2	1:1 ✺
06.10.25	Orenburg-2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Orenburg-2	0:0 ✺
22.09.25	Orenburg-2 - Krylya Sovetov 2	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Orenburg-2 - Volna Kovernino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWTWW
- Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
12.10.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Chelyabinsk 2	6:0 ✺
04.10.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Dynamo Barnaul	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Amkar Perm	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Ural 2 - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
13.04.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Orenburg-2	0:2
17.09.23	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Orenburg-2	0:1
23.07.23	Orenburg-2 - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:1

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