The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orense 57.6%
Draw 25.4%
El Nacional 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
28.6%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
27.5%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orense's performance.
El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-14%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Orense - El Nacional Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Orense: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Orense (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Orense will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Orense (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Silva R. (G) 15. Caicedo B. 6. Arturia G. 4. Quinonez S. 31. Velasco P. 50. Vasquez S. 26. Molina N. 10. Burgoa V. 13. Mena A. 17. Caicedo B. 11. Herrera A.
12. Cabezas D. (G) 30. Carabali F. 5. Flor F. 32. Bedoya A. 18. Rivera B. 13. Caicedo E. 14. Pazmino D. 15. Cela A. 10. Borja J. 7. Chala J. 99. Reasco D.
Substitutes
8. Armas D. 19. Bermudez M. 9. Bianchi O. 7. Luna R. 18. Mejia M. 3. Mina S. 29. Olinick A. 22. Ortiz J. (G) 2. Quinonez B. 32. Romero N. 16. Valverde J. 77. Vinan B.
59. Borja F. 4. Cabezas Briones R. A. 1. Chala L. (G) 66. Estupinan W. 20. Guisamano J. 60. Maya J. 55. Mejia Moreira J. D. 26. Mena A. 25. Montano M. 24. Mora F. 28. Puente J. 17. Velez C.
Coaches
Antuna R.
Perez J. C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Flor F. 🟨,
45+5', Caicedo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Reasco D. ⚽, Pazmino D. (A),
57', Flor F. ↓, Velez C. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Burgoa V. ⚽, Caicedo B. (A),
68', Molina N. ↓, Valverde J. ↑,
68', Herrera A. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
83', Caicedo B. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
83', Carabali F. ↓, Cabezas Briones R. A. ↑,
83', Pazmino D. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
84', 🟨,
90', Borja J. ↓, Borja F. ↑,
90', Burgoa V. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2.
Orense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
El Nacional is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Orense is a strong favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Orense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Ecuador
Peru
Usa
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Silva R. (G) 
Arturia G. 
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