The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Nacional 53.6%
Draw 25.3%
Manta 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.1%
24.8%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
24.2%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
28.6%
0%
El Nacional - Manta Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. El Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. El Nacional (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Manta (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. El Nacional (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Manta (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas D. (C) 25. Montano M. 30. Carabali F. 32. Bedoya A. 15. Cela A. 18. Rivera B. 17. Velez C. 7. Chala J. 14. Pazmino D. 13. Caicedo E. 99. Reasco D.
1. Chavez W. (C) 23. Medina E. A. 2. Madruga A. 16. Quintero D. 20. Chala J. 85. Ospitaleche F. 24. Ramirez B. 19. Alman J. 10. Aleman C. 77. Zambrano J. 9. Valencia D.
Substitutes
10. Borja J. 11. Branda V. 1. Chala L. (G) 16. Cifuentes J. 66. Estupinan W. 20. Guisamano J. 77. Hernandez B. 60. Maya J. 2. Mazamba S. 55. Mejia Moreira J. D. 26. Mena A. 24. Mora F. 28. Puente J.
8. Almeida F. 21. Bartora G. 7. Cabezas D. 50. Castillo A. 17. Ortiz R. 3. Penarrieta J. 6. Torres Nazareno L. B. 80. Valencia M. 12. Zambrano F. (G)
Coaches
Perez J. C.
Mera E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Carabali F. 🟨,
30', Chala J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Montano M. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,
55', Zambrano J. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
75', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
75', Valencia D. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
77', Chala J. ↓, Bartora G. ↑,
79', Quintero D. 🟨,
81', Quintero D. 🟥,
82', Cela A. ↓, Cifuentes J. ↑,
85', Aleman C. ↓, Penarrieta J. ↑,
87', Velez C. ↓, Borja J. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Borja J. ⚽,
90+4', Pazmino D. ↓, Branda V. ↑,
90+11', Alman J. 🟨,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
El Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, El Nacional is a strong favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, El Nacional won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, El Nacional won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
Ecuador
Peru
Usa
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Cabezas D. (C) 
Madruga A. 
Ramirez B. 
Ortiz R. 
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