Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 8 June 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Referee: Feres J. (Uru)


	Oriente Petrolero		Tacuary

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.33
	1.8	3.7	4.2
	1.76	3.85	4.51
	1.73	3.4	4.4
	1.75	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.55	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.04)	3.64 ↑ (3.35)	4.35 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriente Petrolero
52.9%

Draw
25.6%

Tacuary
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

27.8%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27.6%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriente Petrolero's performance.

Tacuary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tacuary might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriente Petrolero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

Oriente Petrolero - Tacuary Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tacuary will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oriente Petrolero: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quinonez W. (G) 30. Berdecio J. 14. Mercado Galvez J. S. 4. Villalba D. 24. Guzman S. 6. Rojas D. 19. Sanchez E. 8. Alvarez C. 7. Arabe C. 25. Villagra L. 35. Vargas J.	22. Huesca D. (G) 18. Cabral L. 35. Benitez E. 45. Romero L. 4. Ribeiro I. 32. Medina G. 16. Ayala V. 10. Benitez M. 31. Arguello R. 19. Valdeci 49. Nunez M.
Substitutes
11. Correa J. 37. Cristaldo J. 23. Gutierrez L. 32. Paz A. 31. Saavedra A. 21. Sanchez H. 22. Valdivia D. (G) 34. Vargas F. 17. Zeballos L.	5. Bareiro Zorrilla N. 24. Carballo R. 8. Dominguez R. 34. Edson Carius 2. Fernandez A. 27. Gonzalez J. 38. Martinez L. 11. Oscar Ruiz 17. Rodriguez D. 12. Servin C. (G) 7. Valdez I. 15. Villazanti Y.
Coaches
Hoyos G.	Almeida I.

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Oriente Petrolero is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oriente Petrolero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.06.23	Oriente Petrolero - Always Ready	2:0 ✺
29.05.23	Vaca Díez - Oriente Petrolero	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.05.23	Oriente Petrolero - Red Bull Bragantino	0:4 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
17.05.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Oriente Petrolero	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.05.23	Aurora - Oriente Petrolero	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLLT
- Tacuary
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.06.23	Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary	2:0 ✺
30.05.23	Tacuary - Sportivo Luqueño	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.05.23	Tacuary - Estudiantes La Plata	0:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.05.23	Resistencia - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
17.05.23	Tacuary - Guaraní Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
02.05.23	Tacuary - Oriente Petrolero	3:1

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