Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Source (Orléans)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Italy	Ligue 1+
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+


	Orleans		Cannes

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.10	2.25
	2.60	3.15	2.40
	3.19	3.30	2.42
	2.79	3.25	2.34	Watch
	3.10	3.10	2.35
	3.06	3.26	2.30
	2.85	3.15	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.05)	3.19 ↑ (3.08)	2.34 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orleans
31.7%

Draw
28.9%

Cannes
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

29.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

28.4%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Cannes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cannes than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Orleans - Cannes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Faham F. (G) 12. Guiheneuf M. 27. Lemaitre M. 6. Aubourg H. 5. Sylla M. (C) 3. Ndicka Matam T. 20. Dali-Amar B. 11. Berthier G. 7. Diako M. 26. Ribeiro A. 25. Seydi I.	1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 14. Corchia S. 17. Gueho L. 24. Morante L. 3. Makutungu C. 6. Goncalves C. (C) 25. N'Diaye A. 22. Sidibe O. 10. Oggad B. 29. Die S. 11. Kerouedan A.
Substitutes
8. Ba Abou 4. Balenga E. 10. Khous G. 23. Koembo J. 19. Legendre R. 40. Moussima S. (G) 9. Prunier M.	27. Abderrahmane H. 8. Caumont E. 23. Gerbeaud R. 28. Hadjem Y. 9. Morgan G. 19. Smith J. 30. Vanni F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Berthier G. ↓, Khous G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Aubourg H. 🟨,
61', Seydi I. ↓, Legendre R. ↑,
61', Ribeiro A. ↓, Prunier M. ↑,
71', Oggad B. ↓, Gerbeaud R. ↑,
75', Dali-Amar B. ↓, Ba Abou ↑,
75', Guiheneuf M. ↓, Koembo J. ↑,
80', Die S. ↓, Morgan G. ↑,
85', Sidibe O. ↓, Hadjem Y. ↑,
87', Ndicka Matam T. 🟨,
87', Sylla M. 🟨,
90+2', Corchia S. 🟨,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 14th and 7th).

Orleans is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cannes shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cannes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Outrights of French Ligue 3 for now

Cannes: 6.05% Orleans: 5.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Cannes	9	3	6	0	11:4	7	15
14	Orleans	9	2	3	4	7:11	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Orleans - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Cannes - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.3%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
19.09.26	Amiens - Orleans	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Orleans - Versailles	0:4 ✺
05.09.26	Le Puy - Orleans	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Orleans - La Roche VF	0:1 ✺
20.08.26	Fleury 91 - Orleans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTLW
- AS Cannes
French Ligue 3
17.09.26	Bastia - Cannes	1:1 ✺
10.09.26	Cannes - Amiens	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Versailles - Cannes	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Cannes - Le Puy	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	La Roche VF - Cannes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWWT

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