Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 27

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Central City Stadium (Orsha) 🌤️ ...


	Orsha		Niva Dolbizno

	1	X	2
	6.00	4.00	1.42
	6.05	4.25	1.43
	5.75	5.39	1.45
	6.80	4.70	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↓ (6.2)	4.59 ↓ (4.6)	1.4 (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsha
14.9%

Draw
19.9%

Niva Dolbizno
65.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.8%

19.9%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

19.5%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Niva Dolbizno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsha than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niva Dolbizno than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volodkov A. (G) 10. Alexandrovich A. 8. Berezun I. 7. Bobchenok N. 93. Bordukov P. (C) 3. Bykov N. 22. Kudinov E. 82. Shalychev V. 11. Stain D. 5. Tarbyakov N. 9. Tikhomirov D.	12. Dovnar N. (G) 23. Fedortsov D. 7. Galuza D. 62. Gordeychuk M. 88. Kozel R. 9. Kuratnik A. 21. Leshkevich N. 29. Pampukha P. 18. Shcherbo V. (C) 8. Sibilev D. 41. Tkhagalegov A.
Substitutes
69. Bulakhov S. 14. Dambrovsky A. 19. Kostyukovich V. 52. Kravchenko R. (G) 17. Kulesh Y. 98. Romanov A. 88. Rudenok D. 13. Strebtsov D. 18. Volchenko N. 77. Zheleznikov G.	3. Druchik M. 10. Dybin V. 35. Kashtelyan D. (G) 20. Martysevich A. 69. Mashagin E. 4. Milyutin V. 15. Monich I. 77. Shubovich V. 47. Skomarovskiy V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 15th and 3rd in the Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orsha won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Orsha (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Niva shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

The betting markets point to Niva as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Orsha has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:12 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Orsha against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:5 goals (averaging 1:2.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Niva Dolbizno	29	19	4	6	76:35	41	61
14	Orsha	30	8	6	16	35:56	-21	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orsha
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
26.09.26	SKA-1938 - Orsha	5:1 ✺
19.09.26	Orsha - Slutsk	0:3 ✺
11.09.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Orsha	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Orsha - Ostrovets	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Slonim - Orsha	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTLW
- Niva Dolbizno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
26.09.26	Niva Dolbizno - Volna Pinsk	4:0 ✺
19.09.26	Smorgon - Niva Dolbizno	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Niva Dolbizno - BumProm Gomel	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Minsk 2 - Niva Dolbizno	3:4 ✺
30.08.26	Niva Dolbizno - Osipovichi	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
07.06.26	Niva Dolbizno - Orsha	1:1
16.08.25	Orsha - Niva Dolbizno	1:4
13.04.25	Niva Dolbizno - Orsha	2:1
17.08.24	Niva Dolbizno - Orsha	1:1
25.11.23	Niva Dolbizno - Orsha	3:1
06.08.23	Orsha - Niva Dolbizno	1:1

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