Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 1

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata (Barrancabermeja)


	Orsomarso		Cúcuta Deportivo

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.55	Watch
	3	2.88	2.42	Watch
	3.07	2.96	2.66
	2.79	2.83	2.79	Watch
	2.9	2.63	2.5
	2.95	2.63	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (4.02)	2.82 ↓ (3.05)	2.58 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orsomarso
31.3%

Draw
32.8%

Cúcuta Deportivo
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

30%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

28.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orsomarso's performance.

Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cúcuta Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orsomarso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cúcuta Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Orsomarso - Cúcuta Deportivo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cúcuta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Agudelo J. ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, Barreiro J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Orsomarso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cúcuta could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Orsomarso won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Orsomarso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Primera B
18.04.26	Orsomarso - Leones	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Bogotá - Orsomarso	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Orsomarso - Internacional de Palmira	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Deportes Quindío - Orsomarso	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Orsomarso - Independiente Valle del Cauca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLLTW
- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A
02.05.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Cúcuta Deportivo	5:0 ✺
05.04.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Atlético Nacional - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
25.10.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Orsomarso	1:0
18.05.25	Orsomarso - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2
17.08.24	Cúcuta Deportivo - Orsomarso	0:1
24.02.24	Orsomarso - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:1
20.07.23	Orsomarso - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:2
03.02.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Orsomarso	1:0
04.09.22	Cúcuta Deportivo - Orsomarso	3:0

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