Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 18

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio General Santander (Cúcuta)

Referee: Rivera H. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Cúcuta Deportivo		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.25
	2.68	3.15	2.68
	2.75	3.31	2.68
	2.68	3.29	2.59	Watch
	2.63	3	2.63
	2.64	3.15	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.96)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	2.6 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cúcuta Deportivo
34.5%

Draw
29.5%

Junior Barranquilla
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

28.3%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

28.3%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cúcuta Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Cúcuta Deportivo - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Abadia F. (G) 26. Abonia Y. 3. Calcaterra D. 44. Cordoba B. 23. Castaneda F. 16. Londono K. 5. Mejia V. 7. Berdugo L. 27. Duarte Barajas E. M. (C) 9. Peralta J. 90. Hernandez L.	30. Martinez J. (G) 3. Herrera E. 5. Rivera D. 24. Pestana J. 27. Navia J. 80. Angel Bernal F. S. 7. Rivera H. 20. Sarmiento J. 10. Muriel L. 88. Castrillon B. 70. Bacca C. (C)
Substitutes
80. Albornoz O. 11. Arizalas E. 77. Beltran H. 30. Montano B. 6. Orozco S. 4. Quinones J. 1. Ramirez J. (G) 10. Rios L. 13. Rodriguez B.	77. Barrios C. 21. Canchimbo J. 8. Chara Y. 34. Guerrero J. 33. Monzon L. 9. Paiva G. 1. Silveira M. (G) 19. Socarras D. 6. Villarreal D.
Coaches
Paez R.	Arias A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', Muriel L. 🟨,
13', Duarte Barajas E. M. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Muriel L. ⚽, Castrillon B. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Hernandez L. ⚽, Berdugo L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Castrillon B. ↓, Chara Y. ↑,
46', Sarmiento J. ↓, Barrios C. ↑,
59', Castaneda F. ↓, Arizalas E. ↑,
59', Hernandez L. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
59', Bacca C. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
60', Navia J. ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
64', Rivera H. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
74', Londono K. ↓, Orozco S. ↑,
74', Mejia V. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
78', Pestana J. 🟨,
90', Duarte Barajas E. M. ↓, Montano B. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).

Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Junior may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cúcuta won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:28. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cúcuta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.4:2.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cucuta	12	4	3	5	15:19	-4	15
17	Junior	12	2	4	6	18:22	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A
19.04.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Cúcuta Deportivo	5:0 ✺
05.04.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - América de Cali	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Atlético Nacional - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Boyacá Chicó	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Deportivo Pereira - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 LWTWT
- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
19.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Cerro Porteño - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
11.04.26	Rionegro Águilas - Junior Barranquilla	0:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Cali	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
16.08.23	Junior Barranquilla - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:2 penalties
27.07.23	Cúcuta Deportivo - Junior Barranquilla	4:3
Colombian Primera A
01.11.20	Cúcuta Deportivo - Junior Barranquilla	1:4
24.11.19	Junior Barranquilla - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:0
14.11.19	Cúcuta Deportivo - Junior Barranquilla	1:3
29.10.19	Junior Barranquilla - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:0
05.05.19	Cúcuta Deportivo - Junior Barranquilla	2:1

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