Match Info

LaLiga - Round 27

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSPORTS+ Plus
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium, Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15


	Osasuna		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.75
	1.92	3.35	4.25	Watch
	1.95	3.43	4.53
	1.88	3.44	4.43	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4.2
	1.91	3.49	4.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.76)	3.41 ↓ (3.61)	4.41 ↓ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna
50.5%

Draw
27.9%

Mallorca
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.3%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

25.7%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	6.2%	6.2%

Osasuna - Mallorca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Mallorca (4.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Osasuna will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Osasuna will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasuna (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Mallorca (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera S. (G) 19. Rosier V. 24. Catena A. 5. Herrando J. 20. Galan J. 7. Moncayola J. 6. Torro L. 14. Garcia R. (C) 10. Oroz A. 21. Munoz V. 17. Budimir A.	1. Roman L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 24. Valjent M. 21. Raillo A. (C) 22. Mojica J. 12. Samu Costa 5. Mascarell O. 18. Joseph M. 20. Torre P. 8. Morlanes M. 7. Muriqi V.
Substitutes
41. Arguibide I. 11. Barja K. 22. Boyomo F. 23. Bretones A. 3. Cruz J. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 9. Garcia R. 16. Gomez M. 18. Moro R. 8. Munoz I. 29. Osambela A.	13. Bergstrom L. (G) 10. Darder S. 30. Kalumba J. 3. Lato T. 27. Lopez D. 15. Luvumbo Z. 2. Morey Bauza M. 34. Olaizola J. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 6. Sanchez A. 17. Virgili J.
Coaches
Lisci A.	Demichelis M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Garcia R. 🟨,
23', Torre P. 🟨,
27', Valjent M. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Muriqi V. ⚽,
40', Lisci A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', Raillo A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
53', Torre P. ↓, Darder S. ↑,
56', Torro L. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
56', Garcia R. ↓,
60', Maffeo P. 🟨,
61', 0 - 2, Muriqi V. ⚽, Darder S. (A),
63', Morlanes M. ↓, Virgili J. ↑,
69', Roman L. 🟨,
73', Virgili J. 🟥,
77', Moncayola J. ↓, Barja K. ↑,
77', Herrando J. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
77', Galan J. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
82', Garcia R. 🟥,
87', Munoz V. 🟨,
88', Maffeo P. ↓, Morey Bauza M. ↑,
88', Joseph M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Barja K. ⚽, Munoz V. (A),
90+4', 2 - 2, Budimir A. ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
90+5', Samu Costa 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 1.

Osasuna has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mallorca is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Osasuna is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Osasuna: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6:13	-7	8

Last Results with these Odds

Mallorca - the odds 4.81 are the expected chance of winning is 19.74%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
01.03.26	Valencia - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Osasuna - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Elche - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Osasuna - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LWTWT
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
28.02.26	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Celta de Vigo - Mallorca	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mallorca - Betis	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Barcelona - Mallorca	3:0 ✺
02.02.26	Mallorca - Sevilla	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
29.11.25	Mallorca - Osasuna	2:2
10.02.25	Mallorca - Osasuna	1:1
24.08.24	Osasuna - Mallorca	1:0
14.05.24	Osasuna - Mallorca	1:1
21.12.23	Mallorca - Osasuna	3:2
31.03.23	Mallorca - Osasuna	0:0
14.01.23	Osasuna - Mallorca	1:0

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