Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday

Location: Zubieta Real Sociedad (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Sociedad B		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.2
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.72	3.7	4.4
	1.81	3.55	4.29
	1.74	3.52	4.36	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.46
	1.72	3.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.58)	3.57 ↓ (3.8)	4.33 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
53%

Draw
25.8%

Amorebieta
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

23.8%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

24.7%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-3%)

Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fraga A. (G) 21. Merino J. 24. Beitia L. 15. Rodriguez P. 3. Balda J. 11. Ochieng J. 28. Carbonell T. 10. Goti Lopez M. 6. Lebarbier A. 31. Marchal A. 9. Orobengoa E.	1. Marino U. (C) 2. Carbonell A. 5. Amelibia J. 22. Yuste A. 23. Calavera J. 20. Coto E. 11. Hervias P. 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 18. Coulibaly A. 17. Munoz I. 21. Marin A.
Substitutes
23. Agote U. . Eceizabarrena J. 18. Garcia E. 37. Garro J. 33. Jimenez J. (G) 29. Osazuwa S. 17. Ramirez D. 8. Rodriguez M. 38. Ropero I.	15. Aurtenetxe J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 10. Berto 13. Campos G. (G) 9. Kaxe 6. Nakai P. 27. Reka 7. Selma D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Coulibaly A. 🟨,
28', Balda J. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Orobengoa E. ⚽,
44', Calavera J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Coulibaly A. ↓, Ben Hamed N. ↑,
52', Ben Hamed N. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Balda J. ⚽,
63', Marin A. (Pen),
69', Yuste A. ↓, Nakai P. ↑,
69', Marin A. ↓, Selma D. ↑,
77', Hervias P. ↓, Berto ↑,
78', Munoz I. ↓, Kaxe ↑,
80', Orobengoa E. 🟨,
81', Berto 🟨,
81', Ochieng J. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
86', Garcia E. 🟨,
89', Goti Lopez M. ↓, Osazuwa S. ↑,
90', Orobengoa E. ↓, Eceizabarrena J. ↑,
90+2', Eceizabarrena J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad B won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Real Sociedad B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Sociedad B is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Real Sociedad B won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31:24 (average 1.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Sociedad B won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
26.11.24	Chelsea U21 - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:1 ✺
16.11.24	Real Sociedad B - Real Unión de Irun	5:0 ✺
10.11.24	Zamora - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.24	Amorebieta - Sestao	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Ponferradina - Amorebieta	5:2 ✺
17.11.24	Amorebieta - Barcelona B	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Arenteiro - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Amorebieta - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.04.23	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	0:1
15.01.23	Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
23.04.22	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	2:1
24.10.21	Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.02.21	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	2:1
14.11.20	Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B	2:1
07.12.19	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	4:2

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