Match Info

HNL - Round 30

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Opus Arena (Osijek)

Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3


	Osijek		Varaždin

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.1
				Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.28	3.02	3.76
	2.17	3.16	3.5	Watch
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.26	3.23	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.2)	3.09 ↓ (3.13)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osijek
42.2%

Draw
30.1%

Varaždin
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.1%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Osijek - Varaždin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Varaždin will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Malenica M. (C) 49. Kolarik I. 5. Mersinaj J. 26. Jelenic L. 39. Bukvic D. 6. Mejia Moscoso D. M. 16. Petrusenko O. 38. Colina D. 57. Akere S. 11. Omerovic N. 34. Matkovic A.	1. Zelenika O. (C) 23. Maglica F. 13. Mladenovski M. 14. Puncec R. 20. Sikosek G. 6. Puclin D. 7. Vuk M. 28. Canjuga I. 22. Mamic L. 38. Tavares I. 10. Latkovic A.
Substitutes
46. Baric I. 3. Barisic B. 21. Bubanja V. 1. Curcija N. (G) 18. Farkas N. 33. Hasic E. 17. Jakupovic A. 98. Jovicic M. 8. Mikolcic S. 42. Renan Guedes 99. Teklic T. 23. Vrbancic L.	44. Barac M. 12. Bockaj P. 8. Duvnjak T. 15. Ilinkovic S. 2. Lesjak S. 17. Mamut I. 24. Marina M. 30. Posinkovic L. 33. Silic J. (G) 16. Tepsic N.
Coaches
Radotic T.	Safaric N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Tavares I. ⚽, Latkovic A. (A),
27', Mamic L. 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Tavares I. ⚽, Maglica F. (A),
33', Akere S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matkovic A. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
46', Jelenic L. ↓, Teklic T. ↑,
46', Mamic L. ↓, Duvnjak T. ↑,
47', Sikosek G. 🟨,
53', Vuk M. ↓, Tepsic N. ↑,
60', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
61', Omerovic N. ↓, Barisic B. ↑,
61', Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
63', Kolarik I. 🟨,
67', Latkovic A. ↓, Ilinkovic S. ↑,
67', Puclin D. ↓, Marina M. ↑,
76', Kolarik I. ↓, Bubanja V. ↑,
82', Puncec R. ↓, Barac M. ↑,
85', Canjuga I. 🟨,
90', Mladenovski M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Osijek has had a series of away games.

Osijek could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Osijek: Barisic B. (Knock) Jurisic R. (Inactive) Karacic F. (Inactive) Shopov S. (Knee Injury) Toure Y. (Inactive) Vrbancic L. (Injury)

There will not play in Varaždin: Juric S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Osijek: Kolarik I. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Osijek	9	5	1	3	18:14	4	16
4	Varazdin	8	4	3	1	13:7	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
12.04.26	Rijeka - Osijek	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Osijek	7:0 ✺
22.03.26	Slaven Belupo - Osijek	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Osijek - Gorica	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Istra 1961 - Osijek	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WLTTW
- NK Varaždin
Croatian HNL
12.04.26	Varaždin - Slaven Belupo	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Varaždin - Gorica	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Istra 1961 - Varaždin	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Varaždin - Vukovar 91	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Varaždin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
08.02.26	Varaždin - Osijek	2:1
Croatian Cup
03.12.25	Varaždin - Osijek	2:1 penalties
Croatian HNL
02.11.25	Osijek - Varaždin	0:0
17.08.25	Varaždin - Osijek	0:0
17.05.25	Varaždin - Osijek	2:1
16.03.25	Osijek - Varaždin	0:0
15.12.24	Varaždin - Osijek	0:0

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