Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Albuera (Segovia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Gimnástica Segoviana		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.4
	3	3.07	2.56
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.82)	3.04 ↓ (3.68)	2.48 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica Segoviana
32.6%

Draw
30.3%

Ourense CF
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

24.8%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

23.7%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ourense CF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ourense CF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gimnástica Segoviana - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Oliva H. (G) 3. Molina S. 21. Juan Silva 17. Chupo 4. Lopez D. 10. Borrego J. 14. Llorente F. 6. Olmedilla M. 22. De La Mata J. 7. Berlanga M. 9. Gomez D.	1. Marqueta R. (G) 3. Sanz H. 4. Carmona F. 15. Zalaya A. 5. Prado M. 11. Gil A. 8. Ramos J. 23. Xesc Fullana 6. Fidalgo A. 7. Carbonell J. 20. Sanchez A.
Substitutes
11. Astray P. 18. Cespedes M. 8. Diaz H. 19. Farrell J. 23. Ferreiroa F. 26. Marcos H. 32. Maroto A. 33. Postigo A. (G) 20. Tellechea I.	2. Andrada F. 18. Blesa Alex 9. Di Renzo G. 10. Gil A. 13. Guillen P. (G) 16. Juanma Bravo 22. Noriega J. 17. Prada R. 21. Raigal J. 19. Rodriguez M. 12. Teijo E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Carbonell J. ⚽,
58', 0 - 2, Sanchez A. ⚽,
66', Cespedes M. ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
66', Olmedilla M. ↓, Diaz H. ↑,
66', Juan Silva ↓, Tellechea I. ↑,
68', Gil A. ↓, Prada R. ↑,
68', Sanchez A. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
74', Carbonell J. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
74', Ramos J. ↓, Noriega J. ↑,
79', Borrego J. ↓, Astray P. ↑,
88', Xesc Fullana ↓, Juanma Bravo ↑,
90+1', Tellechea I. ↓, Maroto A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

G Segoviana has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ourense CF is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ourense CF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches G Segoviana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.02.25	Ponferradina - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Osasuna B	2:4 ✺
08.02.25	Barcelona B - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2 ✺
31.01.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Real Unión de Irun - Gimnástica Segoviana	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.02.25	Ourense CF - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ourense CF	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Ourense CF - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	FC Andorra - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Ourense CF - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.24	Ourense CF - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0

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