Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Oxford United		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.75	6
	1.38	5	6.75
	1.34	5.5	8.25
	1.38	5	6.4
	1.38	5.46	7.61
	1.4	4.6	7
	1.41	5.45	7.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.46)	5.25 ↑ (4.47)	7.09 ↑ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
68.5%

Draw
18.1%

Doncaster Rovers
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.9%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

23.1%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	13.6%	18.2%

Oxford United - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Doncaster will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Oxford has the most likely position - 8 (93.06%), has project points - 77, has currently - 75, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Doncaster has the most likely position - 23 (76.56%), has project points - 38, has currently - 37, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 14, very small importance 0, very small match rating 7. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Oxford is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Oxford won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League One
23.04.22	Rotherham United - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
19.04.22	Oxford United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
15.04.22	Fleetwood Town - Oxford United	2:3 ✺
09.04.22	Oxford United - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
05.04.22	Morecambe - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLL
- Doncaster Rovers
English League One
23.04.22	Doncaster Rovers - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
18.04.22	Shrewsbury Town - Doncaster Rovers	3:3 ✺
15.04.22	Doncaster Rovers - Bolton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Doncaster Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Doncaster Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.12.21	Doncaster Rovers - Oxford United	1:2
16.03.21	Oxford United - Doncaster Rovers	3:0
06.02.21	Doncaster Rovers - Oxford United	3:2
01.01.20	Doncaster Rovers - Oxford United	1:0
12.10.19	Oxford United - Doncaster Rovers	3:0
27.04.19	Oxford United - Doncaster Rovers	2:2
22.12.18	Doncaster Rovers - Oxford United	2:2

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