Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Rotherham United		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.8
	1.83	3.6	4
	2	3.55	3.7
	1.84	3.6	3.9
	1.8	3.97	4.37
	2.05	3.5	3.4
	1.86	3.96	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.81)	3.71 ↓ (3.94)	3.92 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
50.2%

Draw
25.6%

Oxford United
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

24.5%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.5%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2%)

Rotherham United - Oxford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 8).

Rotherham has the most likely position - 2 (54.06%), has project points - 87, has currently - 83, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (38%), has a good chance of promoted (69%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Oxford has the most likely position - 8 (54.25%), has project points - 79, has currently - 75, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 26, big importance 76, match rating 51. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Oxford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rotherham will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League One
19.04.22	Burton Albion - Rotherham United	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Rotherham United - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
12.04.22	Portsmouth - Rotherham United	3:0 ✺
09.04.22	Rotherham United - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
03.04.22	Rotherham United - Sutton United	4:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Oxford United
English League One
19.04.22	Oxford United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
15.04.22	Fleetwood Town - Oxford United	2:3 ✺
09.04.22	Oxford United - Sunderland	1:2 ✺
05.04.22	Morecambe - Oxford United	2:1 ✺
02.04.22	Plymouth Argyle - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
27.11.21	Oxford United - Rotherham United	0:0
11.01.20	Oxford United - Rotherham United	1:3
19.10.19	Rotherham United - Oxford United	1:2
13.02.18	Rotherham United - Oxford United	3:1
21.10.17	Oxford United - Rotherham United	3:3
English FA Cup
07.01.17	Rotherham United - Oxford United	2:3
English League Two
05.03.13	Oxford United - Rotherham United	0:4

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