Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Pärnu Vaprus		Narva Trans

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.30	2.50
	2.52	3.3	2.52
	2.57	3.28	2.61
	2.53	3.41	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.55
	2.39	3.28	2.53
	2.49	3.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.32)	3.3 ↓ (3.45)	2.54 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Vaprus
36.7%

Draw
27.6%

Narva Trans
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.3%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

25.1%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Pärnu Vaprus - Narva Trans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 1.

In recent outings, Pärnu Vaprus has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Narva Trans is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Pärnu Vaprus has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:30 (averaging 1.3:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pärnu Vaprus against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:15 goals (averaging 1.2:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Parnu JK Vaprus	29	10	4	15	39:57	-18	34
10	Narva	29	5	4	20	22:65	-43	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga
20.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus	3:2 ✺
16.09.26	Paide LM - Pärnu Vaprus	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus	4:0 ✺
09.09.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Harju JK Laagri	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWW
- Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga
20.09.26	Narva Trans - Levadia Tallinn	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Nõmme Kalju - Narva Trans	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Narva Trans - Tammeka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
18.07.26	Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus	3:1
09.05.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Narva Trans	2:0
21.03.26	Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus	2:1
Club Friendly
15.02.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Narva Trans	0:2
Estonian Meistriliiga
18.10.25	Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus	1:1
12.07.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Narva Trans	0:0
11.05.25	Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus	4:2

Pärnu Vaprus - Narva Trans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide