Match Info

EUROPE: Europa Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Belgium	21:00	RTBF, VRT Canvas
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Sport X
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV5
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	PAOK		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	4.2
	1.83	3.8	3.9
	1.78	3.95	4.3	Watch
	1.82	3.95	4.26
	1.83	3.95	4.26
	1.81	3.97	4.04
	1.9	3.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.65)	3.92 ↑ (3.6)	4.11 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

PAOK
52.4%

Draw
24.4%

Club Brugge
23.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.3%

26.7%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PAOK's performance.

Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club Brugge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PAOK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club Brugge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	8.3%	13.3%

PAOK - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 47 - 78.3%). Brugge will win (votes: 8 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 67.9% – 88.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Kotarski D. (G) 19. Jonny 16. Kedziora T. 4. Koulierakis K. 21. Baba A. R. 22. Schwab S. (C) 8. Meite S. 77. Despodov K. 10. Murg T. 11. Taison 71. Thomas B.	29. Jackers N. (G) 8. Skoras M. 64. Sabbe K. 4. Ordonez J. 39. Balanta E. 14. Meijer B. 10. Vetlesen H. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 15. Onyedika R. 32. Nusa A. 9. Jutgla F.
Substitutes
7. Konstantelias G. 5. Michailidis G. 27. Ozdoev M. 33. Samatta M. 64. Talichmanidis C. (G) 6. Tsingaras T. 95. Tzimas S. 20. Vieirinha 14. Zivkovic A. 18. Zivkovic Z. (G)	28. Boyata D. 21. Bursik J. (G) 62. Homma S. 6. Odoi D. 65. Seys J. 58. Spileers J. 68. Talbi C. 77. Zinckernagel P.
Coaches
Lucescu R.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Jutgla F. ⚽, Sabbe K. (A),
45', 0 - 2, Jutgla F. ⚽, Skoras M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Thomas B. ↓, Samatta M. ↑,
46', Murg T. ↓, Zivkovic A. ↑,
56', Meite S. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
71', Despodov K. ↓, Konstantelias G. ↑,
76', Nusa A. ↓, Odoi D. ↑,
83', Vetlesen H. ↓, Zinckernagel P. ↑,
87', Skoras M. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

PAOK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match PAOK is a favorite.

There will not play in PAOK: Murg T. (Illness) Nasberg I. (Injury) Troost-Ekong W. (Injury)

There will not play in Brugge: De Cuyper M. (Yellow Cards) Mechele B. (Yellow Cards) Mignolet S. (Muscle Injury) Nielsen C. (Thigh Injury) Odoi D. (Knock) Skov Olsen A. (Knock) Spileers J. (Concussion) Thiago I. (Yellow Cards)

Last 2 head-to-head matches PAOK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.04.24	Club Brugge - PAOK	1:0 ✺
Greek Super League
07.04.24	AEK Athens - PAOK	2:2 ✺
03.04.24	PAOK - Lamia	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Panathinaikos - PAOK	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.03.24	PAOK - Dinamo Zagreb	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTWWW
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
14.04.24	Club Brugge - Royal Antwerp	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.04.24	Club Brugge - PAOK	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.04.24	Club Brugge - Anderlecht	3:1 ✺
01.04.24	Cercle Brugge - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Sint-Truidense - Club Brugge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
11.04.24	Club Brugge - PAOK	1:0
Club Friendly
09.07.16	Club Brugge - PAOK	0:2

Upcoming Matches