Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	PAOK		Hearts

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.36	4.75	8
	1.4	4.5	7.5
	1.4	4.62	8.19
	1.39	4.75	7.7
	1.42	4.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)	4.63 ↑ (4.17)	7.82 ↑ (6.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
67.5%

Draw
20.4%

Hearts
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

22.4%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

21.6%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PAOK's performance.

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

PAOK - Hearts Predictions

Users Predictions: PAOK will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Kotarski D. (G) 20. Vieirinha (C) 15. Troost-Ekong W. 4. Koulierakis K. 21. Baba A. R. 6. Tsingaras T. 22. Schwab S. 14. Zivkovic A. 7. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 71. Thomas B.	28. Clark Z. (G) 2. Kent F. 21. Sibbick T. 15. Rowles K. 13. Atkinson N. 14. Devlin C. 10. Boyce L. 19. Cochrane A. 3. Kingsley S. 9. Shankland L. (C) 77. Vargas K.
Substitutes
38. Giaxis K. 16. Kedziora T. 19. Lyratzis L. 5. Michailidis G. 10. Murg T. 3. Nasberg I. 27. Ozdoev M. 55. Rafa 33. Samatta M. 95. Tzimas S. 29. Vrakas G. 18. Zivkovic Z. (G)	22. Denholm A. 17. Forrest A. 16. Halliday A. 51. Lowry A. 12. McGovern M. (G) 11. Oda Y. 29. Offiah O. 39. Sandilands C. 23. Stone H. (G) 30. Tagawa K. 25. Tait M.
Coaches
Lucescu R.	McAvoy F.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

PAOK in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hearts is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Hearts have a series of home games.

In this match PAOK is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's PAOK to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 1 head-to-head matches PAOK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
27.08.23	PAOK - AE Kifisia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Hearts - PAOK	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
20.08.23	PAOK - Asteras Tripolis	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	PAOK - Hajduk Split	3:0 ✺
10.08.23	Hajduk Split - PAOK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWT
- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
27.08.23	Dundee - Hearts	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Hearts - PAOK	1:2 ✺
Scottish League Cup
20.08.23	Hearts - Partick Thistle	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.08.23	Hearts - Rosenborg	3:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
13.08.23	Hearts - Kilmarnock	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Hearts - PAOK	1:2

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