Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Schnyder U. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 6, New World Sport App
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4, Sky Sport Austria 5
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Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
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Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 5
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
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Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 7, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Fox Sports app


	PAOK		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	4
	1.88	3.7	3.9
	1.98	3.75	3.75	Watch
	2	3.75	4
	2	3.58	3.71	Watch
	1.91	3.7	3.9
	1.96	3.92	4.02
	1.98	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)	3.72 ↑ (3.6)	3.88 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
49.3%

Draw
25.9%

Viktoria Plzeň
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for PAOK aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.7%	21.4%	17.9%

PAOK - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). Plzeň will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Kotarski D. (G) 23. Sastre J. 16. Kedziora T. 15. Colley O. 19. Jonny Otto 2. Camara M. 8. Bakayoko T. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 7. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 71. Thomas B.	16. Jedlicka M. (G) 40. Dweh S. 3. Markovic S. 21. Jemelka V. 24. Havel M. 12. Sojka A. 23. Kalvach L. (C) 22. Cadu 11. Vydra M. 31. Sulc P. 80. Adu P. K.
Substitutes
21. Baba A. R. 54. Balomenos K. (G) 9. Chalov F. 77. Despodov K. 5. Michailidis G. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 27. Ozdoev M. 22. Schwab S. 25. Thymianis K. 34. Tissoudali T.	6. Cerv L. 2. Hejda L. 33. Jirka E. 10. Kopic J. 18. Mosquera J. 5. Paluska J. 20. Panos J. 19. Souare C. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 32. Valenta M. 51. Vasulin D. 1. Wiegele F. (G)
Coaches
Lucescu R.	Koubek M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', Dweh S. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Havel M. ⚽, Adu P. K. (A),
39', 0 - 2, Vydra M. ⚽,
41', Markovic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Bakayoko T. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
60', Vydra M. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
65', Taison ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
66', Thomas B. ↓, Tissoudali T. ↑,
66', Sastre J. ↓, Baba A. R. ↑,
70', Dweh S. 🟨,
70', Adu P. K. 🟨,
73', Adu P. K. ↓, Hejda L. ↑,
76', Jonny Otto ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
77', Sojka A. ↓, Cerv L. ↑,
82', Tissoudali T. 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, Tissoudali T. ⚽, Despodov K. (A),
90', Jedlicka M. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Baba A. R. ⚽, Camara M. (A),

Preview

PAOK is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plzeň is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match PAOK is a favorite.

There will not play in PAOK: Tsiftsis A. (Injury)

There will not play in Plzeň: Durosinmi R. (Inactive) Ricardinho (Injury) Sene C. (Inactive) Sloncik T. (Injury) Sykora J. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
20.10.24	AEK Athens - PAOK	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Levadiakos - PAOK	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	PAOK - FCSB	0:1 ✺
Greek Super League
29.09.24	PAOK - Aris	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Galatasaray - PAOK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLLL
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
19.10.24	Baník Ostrava - Viktoria Plzeň	1:3 ✺
06.10.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Pardubice	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
29.09.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.09.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Viktoria Plzeň	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTTT

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