Match Info

Date: 23 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Pajbackan Kentta (Parainen)


	PIF Pargas		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.72	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.73
	3.65	3.9	1.8
	3.95	3.7	1.76
	4.42	4	1.79
	4	3.5	1.75
	4.25	3.82	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↓ (4.18)	3.76 ↓ (3.8)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PIF Pargas
23%

Draw
24.6%

Gnistan
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.4%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

25.7%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PIF Pargas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Gnistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PIF Pargas than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

PIF Pargas - Gnistan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. PIF will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Gnistan will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gnistan: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Gnistan is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches PIF won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PIF Pargas
Finnish Ykkonen
16.07.22	KPV Kokkola - PIF Pargas	2:1 ✺
10.07.22	PIF Pargas - TPS	0:2 ✺
06.07.22	Mikkelin Palloilijat - PIF Pargas	2:3 ✺
02.07.22	PIF Pargas - PK-35 Vantaa	3:2 ✺
22.06.22	PIF Pargas - FF Jaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWWL
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Ykkonen
17.07.22	Gnistan - KTP Kotka	2:1 ✺
11.07.22	JäPS - Gnistan	2:1 ✺
06.07.22	Ekenäs - Gnistan	0:2 ✺
01.07.22	Gnistan - KPV Kokkola	1:2 ✺
22.06.22	Gnistan - TPS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
21.05.22	Gnistan - PIF Pargas	1:0

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