Match Info

Super League - Round 33

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Mandala Krida Stadium (Yogyakarta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	PSIM Yogyakarta		Madura United

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.95
	2.15	3.4	2.82	Watch
	2.25	3.82	3.08
	2.15	3.82	2.92	Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.9
	2.14	3.48	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.99)	3.54 ↑ (3.37)	2.93 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSIM Yogyakarta
42.7%

Draw
25.9%

Madura United
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

27.2%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26.8%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSIM Yogyakarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSIM Yogyakarta than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

PSIM Yogyakarta - Madura United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Supriadi C. (G) 15. Cahyana R. 4. Ramos Mingo F. (C) 2. van den Avert J. 3. Yamadera Y. 6. Iqbal M. 10. Ze Valente 11. Vidal E. 7. Corfe D. 56. Warmerdam D. 27. Abiyoso R.	21. Diky M. (G) 15. Numberi G. 3. Monteiro P. 68. Rusadi A. 6. Ruxi 4. Wehrmann J. (C) 5. Palic K. 17. Sitanggang P. 77. Alesandro F. 9. Junior Brandao 19. Riquelme
Substitutes
35. Adi R. 23. Fatkur G. 99. Haljeta N. 29. Hardiawan R. 63. Rakhmatzoda R. 65. Sapari D. 5. Setyo A. 26. Suardi H. (G) 14. Teddy R.	23. Emerson Souza 26. Harlan A. (G) 45. Hidayat T. 36. Ilhamsyah 99. Kusuma A. 11. Lulinha 95. Mendonca 7. Nufiandani A. 12. Rizki F. 2. Sasongko N.
Coaches
van Gastel J.	Basuki R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Vidal E. ⚽, Abiyoso R. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Iqbal M. ⚽, Yamadera Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Riquelme ↓, Muslihuddin T. ↑,
46', Monteiro P. ↓, Ilhamsyah ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Junior Brandao ⚽, Alesandro F. (A),
70', Junior Brandao ↓, Kusuma A. ↑,
70', Sitanggang P. ↓, Emerson Souza ↑,
71', van den Avert J. 🟨,
73', Yamadera Y. 🟨,
75', Abiyoso R. ↓, Fatkur G. ↑,
80', Rusadi A. ↓, Mendonca ↑,
86', Warmerdam D. 🟨,
86', Warmerdam D. 🟨,
90+3', Cahyana R. ↓, Hardiawan R. ↑,
90+3', Corfe D. ↓, Haljeta N. ↑,
90+4', Hardiawan R. 🟨,
90+5', Iqbal M. ↓, Adi R. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15).

PSIM Yogyakarta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Madura United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

PSIM Yogyakarta might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, PSIM Yogyakarta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, PSIM Yogyakarta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Madura United	4	3	0	1	7:4	3	9
14	PSIM Yogyakarta	4	0	1	3	2:8	-6	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSIM Yogyakarta
Indonesian Super League
10.05.26	PSIM Yogyakarta - Java United	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Persib Bandung - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:0 ✺
30.04.26	PSIM Yogyakarta - Persita Tangerang	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	PSIM Yogyakarta - Persija Jakarta	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Bhayangkara - PSIM Yogyakarta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLTL
- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
11.05.26	Bhayangkara - Madura United	3:1 ✺
05.05.26	Madura United - Bali United Pusam	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	Semen Padang - Madura United	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Madura United - Dewa United	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
10.01.26	Madura United - PSIM Yogyakarta	0:3
Indonesian Championship
14.09.17	Madura United - PSIM Yogyakarta	1:1
13.07.17	PSIM Yogyakarta - Madura United	1:0

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