The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Persebaya Surabaya 46%
Draw 26.9%
Dewa United 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
26.7%
31.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
25%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Dewa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dewa United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Persebaya Surabaya - Dewa United Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Persebaya will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Dewa United will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Persebaya: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dewa United (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Ari E. (G) 2. Catur A. 5. Mitrevski R. 24. Lelis L. S. 17. Jefferson 88. Raickovic M. 68. Firmansyah T. 7. Rivera F. 22. Freitas Gali 77. Malik R. 10. Bruno (C)
92. Stevens S. (G) 3. Prasetyo W. 2. Kuipers N. 14. Fatari B. 97. Febriansyah E. 16. Rizky K. 6. Numberi T. 28. Messidoro A. (C) 77. Sadaoui N. 39. Alex 11. Marukawa T.
Substitutes
33. Araya K. 81. Baihaqi M. 8. Fernando O. 53. Irianto R. 66. Kardanu S. 16. Matos P. 11. Perovic M. 55. Putra S. 52. Ramadhani A. (G) 12. Suaib A. 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.
20. Bagaskara S. 37. Ballah A. 41. Cassio Scheid 4. Johnathan 5. Lilipaly S. 1. Natshir M. (G) 12. Nurviat R. 15. Rangga M. 23. Setiawan A. 7. Vico 10. Vikri E.
Coaches
Tavares B.
Riekerink J. O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Numberi T. 🟨,
9', Firmansyah T. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Rivera F. ⚽, Catur A. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Rizky K. ⚽, Numberi T. (A),
37', Kuipers N. 🟥,
44', Sadaoui N. ↓, Cassio Scheid ↑,
45+6', Raickovic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Firmansyah T. ↓, Irianto R. ↑,
46', Raickovic M. ↓, Matos P. ↑,
46', Prasetyo W. ↓, Ballah A. ↑,
46', Febriansyah E. ↓, Johnathan ↑,
70', Rizky K. ↓, Lilipaly S. ↑,
78', Freitas Gali ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
78', Catur A. ↓, Araya K. ↑,
84', Alex ↓, Bagaskara S. ↑,
86', Bruno 🟨,
90+6', Stevens S. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 0.
Persebaya has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Dewa United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Persebaya could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Persebaya won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Persebaya won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
Indonesia
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Ari E. (G) 
Mitrevski R. 
Lelis L. S. 
Raickovic M. 
Rivera F. 
Freitas Gali 
Stevens S. (G) 
Messidoro A. (C) 
Sadaoui N. 
Marukawa T. 
Matos P. 
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