Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, FOX Sports
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 6
Brazil	17:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 1
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	ESPN 3
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN 3
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 5
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport 256
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 5
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, Canal+
Mexico	14:00	Caliente TV, FOX One
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
North Central America	—	ESPN 5 Norte
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+, Fox Sports
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
South America	—	ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus, TV 360


	PSV Eindhoven		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	2.15
	3.05	3.7	2.28
	3.09	3.75	2.27
	3.06	3.9	2.23
	3	3.6	2.15
	3.1	3.87	2.22
	3	3.6	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	3.74 ↓ (3.88)	2.23 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
31.4%

Draw
25.6%

Atlético Madrid
43%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.4%

24.7%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

24.5%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	14.6%	66%

PSV Eindhoven - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 19 - 18.8%). Atlético will win (votes: 67 - 66.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 14.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 57.1% – 75.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - PSV (1.65) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - PSV (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - PSV (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (38 of 49 users predict this - 77.55%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 54 Selected Experts predict this event. PSV (votes: 9 - 16.7%). Atlético (votes: 40 - 74.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 9.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Kovar M. (G) 8. Dest S. 22. Schouten J. (C) 3. Gasiorowski Y. 2. Salah-Eddine A. 34. Saibari I. 17. Mauro Junior 23. Veerman J. 10. Wanner P. 20. Til G. 11. Driouech C.	13. Oblak J. (G) 16. Molina N. 18. Pubill M. 17. Hancko D. 3. Ruggeri M. 20. Simeone G. 6. Koke (C) 8. Barrios P. 23. Gonzalez N. 9. Sorloth A. 19. Alvarez J.
Substitutes
19. Bajraktarevic E. 31. Fernandez N. 6. Flamingo R. 27. Man D. 39. Nagalo A. 4. Obispo A. 1. Olij N. (G) 9. Pepi R. 5. Perisic I. 24. Schiks N. (G) 25. Sildillia K.	11. Almada T. 32. Bonar J. 5. Cardoso J. 31. Esquivel S. (G) 21. Galan J. 4. Gallagher C. 7. Griezmann A. 24. Le Normand R. 12. Martin C. 30. Martinez D. 1. Musso J. (G) 22. Raspadori G.
Coaches
Bosz P.	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Til G. ⚽, Driouech C. (A),
20', Saibari I. 🟨,
33', Schouten J. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Alvarez J. ⚽, Sorloth A. (A),
37', Simeone D. 🟨,
41', Mauro Junior 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', Simeone G. 🟨,
50', Barrios P. 🟨,
52', 1 - 2, Hancko D. ⚽, Molina N. (A),
54', Gasiorowski Y. 🟨,
56', 1 - 3, Sorloth A. ⚽, Barrios P. (A),
58', Gasiorowski Y. ↓, Obispo A. ↑,
59', Wanner P. ↓, Man D. ↑,
69', Gonzalez N. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
73', Til G. ↓, Pepi R. ↑,
75', Sorloth A. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
76', Koke ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
81', Driouech C. ↓, Perisic I. ↑,
85', 2 - 3, Pepi R. ⚽, Perisic I. (A),
89', Simeone G. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
90+2', Ruggeri M. 🟨,

Preview

PSV has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Atlético has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, PSV has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in PSV: Boadu M. (Inactive) Plea A. (Knee Injury) van Bommel R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atlético: Baena A. (Hamstring Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Muscle Injury) Lenglet C. (Muscle Injury) Llorente M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, PSV won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1).

Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
06.12.25	Heerenveen - PSV Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	PSV Eindhoven - Volendam	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Liverpool - PSV Eindhoven	1:4 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
22.11.25	NAC Breda - PSV Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WWWWW
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
06.12.25	Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
02.12.25	Barcelona - Atlético Madrid	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Inter Milan	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.11.25	Getafe - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
23.11.16	Atlético Madrid - PSV Eindhoven	2:0
13.09.16	PSV Eindhoven - Atlético Madrid	0:1
15.03.16	Atlético Madrid - PSV Eindhoven	1:0 penalties
24.02.16	PSV Eindhoven - Atlético Madrid	0:0

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