Match Info

LaLiga - Round 14

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
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Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
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Denmark	TV2 Play
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Estonia	Disney+
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Disney+, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Disney+, Free
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Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, Disney+, LaLiga TV Bar
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Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
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Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
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Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Atlético Madrid		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	12	Watch
	1.24	5.9	12.5	Watch
	1.25	6.4	12.86
	1.28	6.11	12.2	Watch
	1.25	6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.27)	6.08 ↑ (5.53)	12.31 ↑ (12.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
76.5%

Draw
15.8%

Real Oviedo
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

17.2%

7.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	8.9%	4.4%

Atlético Madrid - Real Oviedo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Oviedo (1.67) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - draw (10.35) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.5 - Atlético (1.74) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (38 of 44 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.22% – 96.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 18 - 78.3%). Oviedo (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (G) 16. Molina N. 18. Pubill M. 15. Lenglet C. 17. Hancko D. 23. Gonzalez N. 10. Baena A. 6. Koke (C) 4. Gallagher C. 7. Griezmann A. 9. Sorloth A.	13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. 16. Carmo D. 3. Alhassane R. 20. Dendoncker L. 11. Colombatto S. 8. Cazorla S. (C) 10. Hassan H. 9. Vinas F. 23. Rondon S.
Substitutes
11. Almada T. 19. Alvarez J. 8. Barrios P. 5. Cardoso J. 31. Esquivel S. (G) 21. Galan J. 2. Gimenez J. M. 12. Martin C. 1. Musso J. (G) 22. Raspadori G. 3. Ruggeri M. 20. Simeone G.	27. Agudin P. 24. Ahijado L. 2. Bailly E. 18. Brekalo J. 12. Calvo D. 14. Ejaria O. 19. Fores A. 21. Ilic L. 15. Luengo O. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 5. Reina A. 6. Sibo K.
Coaches
Simeone D.	Carrion L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Sorloth A. ⚽, Hancko D. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Sorloth A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Baena A. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
54', Carmo D. 🟨,
61', Carmo D. ↓, Calvo D. ↑,
63', Griezmann A. ↓, Barrios P. ↑,
63', Sorloth A. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
75', Rondon S. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
75', Cazorla S. ↓, Ejaria O. ↑,
75', Koke ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
82', Colombatto S. ↓, Reina A. ↑,
82', Hassan H. ↓, Ilic L. ↑,
88', Gonzalez N. ↓, Gimenez J. M. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Atlético has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Oviedo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlético has had a series of home games.

In this match, Atlético is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Le Normand R. (Knee Injury) Llorente M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Chaira I. (Red Card) Domingues B. (Injury) Ejaria O. (Hamstring Injury) Lemos A. (Knee Injury) Lopez J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético: Oblak J. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Inter Milan	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.11.25	Getafe - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Levante	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Saint-Gilloise	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
23.11.25	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Oviedo	4:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.10.25	Girona - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.23	Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid	0:2
Club Friendly
28.07.15	Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid	0:2

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