Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)

Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport
Netherlands	RTL 7
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	PSV Eindhoven		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.8	3.3
	2.05	3.8	3.2
	2.1	3.95	3.25	Watch
	2.14	3.9	3.35
	2.04	3.89	3.55
	2.1	3.75	3
	2.14	3.88	3.28
	2.08	3.9	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.15)	3.86 ↑ (3.75)	3.28 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TUDN, UniMas

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
45.9%

Draw
24.8%

Borussia Dortmund
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

25.4%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

25.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.5%	31.6%	41.8%

PSV Eindhoven - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: 98 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 26 - 26.5%). Borussia D will win (votes: 41 - 41.8%). It will Tie (votes: 31 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 32% – 51.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez W. (G) 3. Teze J. 22. Schouten J. 18. Boscagli O. 8. Dest S. 10. Tillman M. 23. Veerman J. 34. Saibari I. 11. Bakayoko J. 9. de Jong L. (C) 27. Lozano H.	33. Meyer A. (G) 26. Ryerson J. 15. Hummels M. 4. Schlotterbeck N. 22. Maatsen I. 20. Sabitzer M. 23. Can E. (C) 21. Malen D. 11. Reus M. 10. Sancho J. 14. Fullkrug N.
Substitutes
26. Babadi I. 16. Drommel J. (G) 17. Mauro Junior 4. Obispo A. 14. Pepi R. 5. Ramalho A. 2. Sambo S. 30. van Aanholt P. 24. Waterman B. (G)	48. Bamba S. 5. Bensebaini R. 19. Brandt J. 43. Bynoe-Gittens J. 16. Duranville J. 35. Lotka M. (G) 18. Moukoko Y. 6. Ozcan S. 38. Watjen K. 17. Wolf M.
Coaches
Bosz P.	Terzic E.

Preview

1st leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

PSV will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in PSV: Bella-Kotchap A. (Shoulder Injury) Lang N. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Borussia D: Adeyemi K. (Muscle Injury) Haller S. (Ankle Injury) Nmecha F. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Bakayoko J. (Illness) Til G. (Knock)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Malen D. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches PSV won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
16.02.24	PSV Eindhoven - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Volendam - PSV Eindhoven	1:5 ✺
03.02.24	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	PSV Eindhoven - Almere City	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
24.01.24	Feyenoord - PSV Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTWL
- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
17.02.24	Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Borussia Dortmund - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
02.02.24	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	0:0 ✺
28.01.24	Borussia Dortmund - Bochum	3:1 ✺
20.01.24	Köln - Borussia Dortmund	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.01.17	Borussia Dortmund - PSV Eindhoven	4:1

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