Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	15:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Brazil	11:30	Caze TV, SporTV
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	11:30	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	09:30	Disney+, ESPN 5
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	See, Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	18:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:30	Arena 4
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Sony LIV
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Italy	15:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:30	Setanta Sports
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	08:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	00:30	TVWan Sports
Peru	09:30	Disney+, Fox Sports
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	21:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Wolfsburg		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.33	1.7	Watch
	4.4	4	1.73
	4.45	4.15	1.7	Watch
	4.73	4.3	1.73
	4.71	4.26	1.71	Watch
	4.2	4	1.67
	4.31	4.44	1.74	Watch
	4.75	4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↑ (4.2)	4.19 ↑ (4.09)	1.71 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
21.4%

Draw
22.8%

Borussia Dortmund
55.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.7%

23.3%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

22.7%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.5%	10.5%	86%

Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Borussia D (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (49 of 57 users predict this - 85.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.94% – 94.98%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 18 - 90%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grabara K. (G) 2. Fischer K. 3. Vavro D. 4. Koulierakis K. 6. Belocian J. 24. Eriksen C. 27. Arnold M. 11. Daghim A. 7. Shiogai K. 40. Paredes K. 9. Amoura M.	1. Kobel G. (G) 25. Sule N. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. 26. Ryerson J. 7. Bellingham J. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 14. Beier M. 10. Brandt J. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
18. Adjetey J. 41. Burger J. 31. Gerhardt Y. 37. Hensel P. 19. Lindstrom J. 10. Majer L. 29. Muller M. (G) 17. Pejcinovic D. 32. Svanberg M.	41. Albert M. 5. Bensebaini R. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 40. Inacio S. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 49. Reggiani L. 21. Silva F.
Coaches
Bauer D.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Fischer K. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
38', 0 - 1, Brandt J. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Daghim A. 🟨,
51', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Koulierakis K. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
64', Paredes K. ↓, Lindstrom J. ↑,
65', Shiogai K. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
69', Ryerson J. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
83', Amoura M. ↓, Pejcinovic D. ↑,
83', Daghim A. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Guirassy S. ⚽, Silva F. (A),
88', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
88', Nmecha F. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
88', Sule N. ↓, Bensebaini R. ↑,
90+4', Beier M. ↓, Reggiani L. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 1.

Wolfsburg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Borussia D has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Borussia D may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Borussia D is the team to beat.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Jenz M. (Yellow Cards) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Illness) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Illness) Mane F. (Thigh Injury) Sabitzer M. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Kumbedi S. (Injury) Vini Souza (Injury) Wimmer P. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 8:48. (average 0.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	12:4	8	17

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 7.11%

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Dortmund - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 54.07%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
30.01.26	Köln - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Mainz - Wolfsburg	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Wolfsburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLTWL
- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
01.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
24.01.26	Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Borussia Dortmund	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - St. Pauli	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
21.09.25	Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg	1:0
03.05.25	Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg	4:0
22.12.24	Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:3
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:0 ET
German Bundesliga
17.02.24	Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
23.09.23	Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg	1:0
07.05.23	Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg	6:0

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