Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Brazil	Max
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 7, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Two
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 5
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 6
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport PSL
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 12
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Virgin TV Go app


	PSV Eindhoven		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.7	2.75
	2.3	3.5	2.87
	2.45	3.7	2.82
	2.44	3.75	2.92
	2.41	3.58	2.93	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.88
	2.31	3.8	2.98
	2.45	3.7	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (4.59)	3.64 ↓ (4.13)	2.87 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSV Eindhoven
40.3%

Draw
26.3%

Liverpool
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

23%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

26%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSV Eindhoven's performance.

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Liverpool might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSV Eindhoven that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+30.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.6%	16.7%	61.8%

PSV Eindhoven - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 101 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 22 - 21.8%). Liverpool will win (votes: 62 - 61.4%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 16.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 51.9% – 70.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez W. (G) 2. Karsdorp R. 18. Boscagli O. (C) 4. Obispo A. 17. Mauro Junior 11. Bakayoko J. 28. Land T. 23. Veerman J. 34. Saibari I. 14. Pepi R. 20. Til G.	62. Kelleher C. (G) 84. Bradley C. 78. Quansah J. 26. Robertson A. (C) 21. Tsimikas K. 53. McConnell J. 3. Endo W. 19. Elliott H. 14. Chiesa F. 76. Danns J. 18. Gakpo C.
Substitutes
47. Abed T. 26. Babadi I. 9. de Jong L. 21. Driouech C. 16. Drommel J. (G) 36. Kuhn W. 37. Ledezma R. 39. Nagalo A. 24. Schiks N. (G)	95. Davies H. (G) 51. Doherty T. K. 56. Jaros V. (G) 52. Mabaya I. 68. Morrison K. 80. Morton T. 65. Nallo A. 77. Norris J. 98. Nyoni T.
Coaches
Bosz P.	Slot A.

Preview

Liverpool is Qualified for Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

PSV is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Liverpool is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in PSV: Dest S. (Knee Injury) Driouech C. (Ankle Injury) Flamingo R. (Red Card) Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Nagalo A. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Diogo Jota (Muscle Injury) Gomez J. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in PSV: Tillman M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Liverpool: Jones C. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
25.01.25	PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - PSV Eindhoven	2:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.01.25	Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven	3:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
14.01.25	PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior	5:4 ET ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.01.25	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWT
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
25.01.25	Liverpool - Ipswich Town	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.25	Liverpool - Lille	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
18.01.25	Brentford - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Liverpool - Accrington Stanley	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWTW

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