Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 13

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Belgium	Eleven Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	BT Sport
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Milan		Spezia

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	13	Watch
	1.22	6.5	12.5
	1.2	6.75	13
	1.23	6.4	11
	1.24	6.65	13.05
	1.2	6.5	13	Watch
	1.22	6.6	12.75	Watch
	1.24	6.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.23)	6.56 ↑ (6.12)	12.54 ↑ (12.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
77.9%

Draw
14.5%

Spezia
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77%

15.4%

7.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Spezia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	8.4%	7.4%

Milan - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: Milan will win (80 of 95 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.88% – 91.54%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 16).

Milan has the most likely position - 2 (24.74%), has project points - 76, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (74%), has a small chance of win league (15%).

Spezia has the most likely position - 20 (19.91%), has project points - 32, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (50%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 58, importance 51, match rating 55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Milan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Spezia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Milan is certain favorite.

There will not play in Milan: Calabria D. (Thigh Injury) Florenzi A. (Muscle Injury) Ibrahimovic Z. (Knee Injury) Saelemaekers A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Spezia: Bastoni S. (Injury) Kovalenko V. (Injury) Nikolaou D. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Milan: Maignan M. (Calf Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan
UEFA Champions League
02.11.22	Milan - Red Bull Salzburg	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.10.22	Torino - Milan	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.10.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Milan	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.10.22	Milan - Monza	4:1 ✺
16.10.22	Verona - Milan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie A
30.10.22	Spezia - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Salernitana - Spezia	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
19.10.22	Spezia - Brescia	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
16.10.22	Spezia - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
09.10.22	Monza - Spezia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
17.01.22	Milan - Spezia	1:2
25.09.21	Spezia - Milan	1:2
13.02.21	Spezia - Milan	2:0
04.10.20	Milan - Spezia	3:0
Coppa Italia
15.01.14	Milan - Spezia	3:1

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