Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV+


	Paços de Ferreira		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.75
	2.55	2.95	2.6	Watch
	2.65	3	2.75
	2.74	3.09	2.91
	2.75	3.07	2.91
	2.38	3.1	2.62
	2.58	3.1	2.71	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.3)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.75 (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
35.7%

Draw
30.4%

Santa Clara
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

30.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paços de Ferreira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	38.5%	38.5%

Paços de Ferreira - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Marafona (G) 21. Neves A. 4. Ganchas P. 23. Ferigra E. 5. Antunes V. (C) 10. Djalo M. 22. Luiz Carlos 29. Gorby 30. Costinha 19. Fonte R. 20. Bastos L.	1. Gabriel Batista (G) 4. Pacheco P. 13. Rocha L. 23. Lima S. 2. Diogo Calila 20. Adriano Firmino 35. Serginho 16. Henrique P. (C) 19. Almeida B. 99. Rafael Martins 49. Gabriel Silva
Substitutes
77. Cipenga B. 2. Icaro 12. Jeimes (G) 7. Miguel 17. Paulo M. 18. Ribeiro T. 14. Rocha S. 8. Welton 9. Ze Uilton	18. Ageu E. 11. Andrezinho 74. Diaz M. (G) 9. Joao Marcos 77. Klismahn G. 42. Lucas Soares 10. Ricardinho 6. Velazquez S. 70. Vinicius Lopes
Coaches
Silva R.	Pires L.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 3.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Recently Santa Clara have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
11.11.23	Oliveirense - Paços de Ferreira	0:0 ✺
06.11.23	Paços de Ferreira - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Torreense - Paços de Ferreira	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Paços de Ferreira - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Feirense - Paços de Ferreira	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWWL
- CD Santa Clara
Portuguese Liga 2
11.11.23	Santa Clara - AVS	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Nacional - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
29.10.23	Santa Clara - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Santa Clara - Vianense	2:0 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.10.23	Santa Clara - Académico de Viseu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
11.03.23	Paços de Ferreira - Santa Clara	1:0
17.09.22	Santa Clara - Paços de Ferreira	1:1
Club Friendly
20.07.22	Paços de Ferreira - Santa Clara	1:0
Liga Portugal
08.05.22	Santa Clara - Paços de Ferreira	2:0
30.12.21	Paços de Ferreira - Santa Clara	2:1
27.02.21	Santa Clara - Paços de Ferreira	3:0
18.10.20	Paços de Ferreira - Santa Clara	2:1

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