Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Iceland	Viaplay
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Netherlands	Viaplay
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Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Paderborn		Preußen Münster

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.73	3.9	4.5
	1.65	3.65	4.95	Watch
	1.7	3.95	5.42
	1.68	3.82	5.13	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.8
	1.67	3.75	5.32	Watch
	1.62	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.77)	3.77 ↑ (3.52)	5.11 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
56.5%

Draw
25%

Preußen Münster
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.8%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

26.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	22.7%	4.5%

Paderborn - Preußen Münster Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Münster will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Paderborn (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Paderborn (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paderborn will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Seimen D. (G) 22. Hansen M. 25. Scheller T. 20. Gotze F. 17. Curda L. 14. Baur M. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. 7. Bilbija F. 26. Klaas S. 10. Okpala K.	26. Behrens M. (G) 27. ter Horst J. 22. Heuer J. 16. Paetow T. 2. Kirkeskov M. 6. Benger M. 5. Bouchama Y. 20. Hendrix J. 7. Sertdemir Z. 30. Amenyido E. 17. Batista Meier O.
Substitutes
9. Batzner N. 28. Copado L. 6. Engelns L. 8. Kinsombi D. 11. Michel S. 2. Muller R. 1. Schubert M. (G) 3. Sticker J. 27. Tigges S.	19. Benjamins M. 33. Kirsch M. (G) 24. Koulis N. 14. Makridis C. 28. Meyerhofer M. 21. Preissinger R. 45. Scharlau M. 10. Schulz M. 44. Schulz M.
Coaches
Kettemann R.	Ende A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Amenyido E. ⚽, ter Horst J. (A),
28', Bouchama Y. 🟥,
33', Batista Meier O. ↓, Meyerhofer M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hansen M. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
46', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
46', Castaneda S. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Tigges S. ⚽, Curda L. (A),
66', ter Horst J. 🟨,
68', Amenyido E. ↓, Makridis C. ↑,
77', Okpala K. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
78', Behrens M. 🟨,
79', Sertdemir Z. ↓, Preissinger R. ↑,
79', Benger M. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Tigges S. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
85', Baur M. 🟨,
90+2', Klaas S. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
90+3', Preissinger R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.

Paderborn has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Münster has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Paderborn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Münster has had a series of home games.

In this match, Paderborn is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Münster: Batmaz M. (Knee Injury) Bolay L. (Injury) Jaeckel P. (Red Card) Mees J. (Injury) Scherder S. (Knee Injury) Tikvic A. (Knee Injury) Vilhelmsson O. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
18.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Paderborn	2:0 ✺
19.12.25	Paderborn - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Karlsruher - Paderborn	0:4 ✺
06.12.25	Paderborn - Elversberg	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Schalke 04 - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTWLL
- Preußen Münster
German 2 Bundesliga
17.01.26	Preußen Münster - Karlsruher	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Preußen Münster - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.12.25	Preußen Münster - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Darmstadt - Preußen Münster	1:0 ✺
05.12.25	Preußen Münster - Hannover	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Preußen Münster - Paderborn	1:1
14.02.25	Paderborn - Preußen Münster	2:0
13.09.24	Preußen Münster - Paderborn	3:3
Club Friendly
14.01.24	Paderborn - Preußen Münster	6:1
German 3 Bundesliga
03.03.18	Preußen Münster - Paderborn	1:1
16.09.17	Paderborn - Preußen Münster	2:1
13.05.17	Paderborn - Preußen Münster	1:0

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