The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paide LM 59.6%
Draw 21.1%
Nõmme United 19.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.5%
21.6%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.4%
20.9%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-1%)
Paide LM - Nõmme United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Jarju E. (G) 44. Kait K. 27. Baranov N. 3. Victor Hugo 4. Andrade 16. Surogin A. 28. Hoim O. (C) 77. Luts D. 11. Sohna M. P. 14. Jobarteh M. 30. Badamosi A.
71. Purg G. (G) 55. Chanda R. 2. Morishige Y. 4. Alteberg A. 23. Laanelaid K. 10. Frolov A. (C) 26. Oostenbrink K. 45. Jarvelaid H. 51. Beglarishvili Z. 20. Matas K. 11. Chisala B.
Substitutes
9. Anier H. 17. Cham P. A. 6. Daniel Cabral 62. Darboe D. 2. Lilander M. 12. Meerits M. (G) 15. Ojamaa H. 8. Ojamaa H. 61. Palacios J. 21. Smirnov R. 7. Tur E.
14. Geiger S. 24. Kabal G. 31. Kaspar A. 19. Krasnov I. 1. Lagus G. (G) 22. Radomskiy A. 13. Truuvaart A.
Coaches
Kink T.
Cisakowski S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Baranov N. ↓, Lilander M. ↑,
27', 1 - 0, Kait K. ⚽, Sohna M. P. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Oostenbrink K. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Badamosi A. ⚽,
53', Kait K. 🟨,
55', Kait K. ↓, Ojamaa H. ↑,
55', Surogin A. ↓, Ojamaa H. ↑,
67', Laanelaid K. ↓, Krasnov I. ↑,
67', Alteberg A. ↓, Geiger S. ↑,
70', Krasnov I. 🟨,
70', Badamosi A. ↓, Anier H. ↑,
70', Luts D. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Anier H. ⚽,
77', 4 - 1, Anier H. ⚽,
78', Chisala B. ↓, Truuvaart A. ↑,
78', Matas K. ↓, Kaspar A. ↑,
83', Frolov A. ↓, Kabal G. ↑,
89', Krasnov I. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 5.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Paide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Paide is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paide won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:6. (average 3.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 3.5:1).