Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Parnu Rannastaadion (Parnu)

Referee: Jitari R. (Mda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Estonia	Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Paide LM		Zira

	1	X	2
	7.50	3.80	1.45	Watch
	6.25	3.90	1.47
	7.00	4.50	1.40
	6.84	3.97	1.47
	7.69	2.34	1.95	Watch
	6.30	3.80	1.49
	7.37	3.92	1.51	Watch
	6.60	4.00	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.94 ↑ (5.16)	3.78 ↓ (3.93)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paide LM
13.6%

Draw
24.9%

Zira
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

23.3%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	18.2%	81.8%

Paide LM - Zira Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Zira will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Jarju E. (G) 7. Tur E. 27. Baranov N. 3. Victor Hugo 2. Lilander M. 11. Sohna M. P. 28. Hoim O. (C) 10. Miller M. 77. Luts D. 30. Badamosi A. 19. Luts S.	13. Bayramov A. (G) 32. Aliyev Q. (C) 2. Seydiyev A. 4. Ruan Renato 20. Djibrilla I. 21. Guima 17. Vieirinha 7. Aydin E. 93. Konate B. 11. Martins Junior 9. Volkovi D.
Substitutes
4. Andrade 9. Anier H. 17. Cham P. A. 6. Daniel Cabral 14. Jobarteh M. 24. Nigula R. 8. Ojamaa H. 15. Ojamaa H. 20. Piht K. 56. Sapp M. (G) 21. Smirnov R. 16. Surogin A.	14. Alicanov E. 77. Bogomolskiy E. 29. Digbeu C. 22. Guseynov A. 99. Hashimov S. (G) 8. Ibrahimli I. 5. Mutsinzi A. 10. Papunashvili G. 72. Quliyev H. (G)
Coaches
Laurikainen M.	Sadiqov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Luts S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Guima ↓, Ibrahimli I. ↑,
60', Martins Junior ↓, Digbeu C. ↑,
62', Baranov N. 🟨,
75', Djibrilla I. ↓, Mutsinzi A. ↑,
75', Vieirinha ↓, Papunashvili G. ↑,
76', Seydiyev A. 🟨,
77', Sohna M. P. ↓, Daniel Cabral ↑,
78', Badamosi A. ↓, Anier H. ↑,
78', Miller M. ↓, Ojamaa H. ↑,
78', Luts S. ↓, Cham P. A. ↑,
86', Luts D. ↓, Piht K. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Cham P. A. ⚽, Anier H. (A),

Preview

First leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Parnu Rannastaadion.

Paide has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zira is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga
19.07.26	Harju JK Laagri - Paide LM	5:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Paide LM - Hegelmann Litauen	3:0 ✺
09.07.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.26	Paide LM - Pärnu Vaprus	3:1 ✺
28.06.26	Nõmme Kalju - Paide LM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTWT
- Zira FK
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Zira	0:3 ✺
08.07.26	Zira - Torpedo Kutaisi	3:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
23.05.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Zira	3:2 ✺
17.05.26	Zira - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
13.05.26	Sabah - Zira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches