Match Info

K3 League - Round 29

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Paju Frontier		Mokpo City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.25	4.05	Watch
	1.76	3.36	4.43	Watch
	1.86	3.22	4.49
	1.77	3.38	4.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.76)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)	4.4 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
51.3%

Draw
27.8%

Mokpo City
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

27.3%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.1%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Mokpo City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mokpo City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Paju Frontier - Mokpo City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 1.

Paju Citizen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mokpo City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Paju Citizen is a strong favorite.

We predict that Paju Citizen will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Paju Citizen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Paju Citizen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K3 League
26.10.25	Busan Kyotong - Paju Frontier	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Yeoju - Paju Frontier	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Paju Frontier - Changwon City	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Chuncheon - Paju Frontier	0:3 ✺
06.09.25	Paju Frontier - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTWT
- Mokpo City FC
South Korean K3 League
26.10.25	Mokpo City - Gangneung	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Gimhae - Mokpo City	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Daejeon Korail - Mokpo City	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Mokpo City - Ulsan Citizen	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Jeonbuk 2 - Mokpo City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
21.06.25	Mokpo City - Paju Frontier	0:2
29.09.24	Mokpo City - Paju Frontier	1:0
02.06.24	Paju Frontier - Mokpo City	0:1
11.11.23	Paju Frontier - Mokpo City	0:1
18.06.23	Mokpo City - Paju Frontier	0:0
17.07.22	Paju Frontier - Mokpo City	1:0
02.04.22	Mokpo City - Paju Frontier	0:0

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