Match Info

Date: 9 September 2022, Friday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Palermo		Genoa

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.25	1.9	Watch
	3.75	3.3	1.98
	4	3.3	1.95
	3.75	3.25	1.99
	4.07	3.39	2.05
	3.75	3.3	2
	3.9	3.52	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.5)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	1.97 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
24.3%

Draw
28.1%

Genoa
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

29.2%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

29.3%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	28%	52%

Palermo - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 5 - 20%). Genoa will win (votes: 13 - 52%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Palermo has the most likely position - 20 (14.12%), has project points - 40, has currently - 4, has a chance of relegated (47%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Genoa has the most likely position - 1 (18.16%), has project points - 65, has currently - 8, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a chance of promoted (42%), has a chance of win league (18%).

This event has quality 31, importance 47, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palermo won 4.

Palermo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Genoa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Genoa is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Palermo won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
03.09.22	Reggina - Palermo	3:0 ✺
27.08.22	Palermo - Ascoli	2:3 ✺
19.08.22	Bari - Palermo	1:1 ✺
13.08.22	Palermo - Perugia	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
06.08.22	Torino - Palermo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTWL
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie B
03.09.22	Genoa - Parma	3:3 ✺
28.08.22	Pisa - Genoa	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Genoa - Benevento	0:0 ✺
14.08.22	Venezia - Genoa	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
08.08.22	Genoa - Benevento	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
14.05.17	Palermo - Genoa	1:0
18.12.16	Genoa - Palermo	3:4
17.01.16	Genoa - Palermo	4:0
23.08.15	Palermo - Genoa	1:0
19.04.15	Palermo - Genoa	2:1
24.11.14	Genoa - Palermo	1:1
23.02.13	Palermo - Genoa	0:0

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