Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	00:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 4
Brazil	10:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	09:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, Primavera TV, SKY Go Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Arena Bola
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	07:00	Disney+
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	16:00	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+
Vietnam	20:00	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Genoa		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.88	3.75	Watch
	2.28	2.92	3.7	Watch
	2.33	2.95	3.94
	2.30	2.79	3.69	Watch
	2.31	2.95	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.08)	2.9 ↓ (3.22)	3.79 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
41.7%

Draw
33%

Parma
25.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.8%

29.6%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

30.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genoa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31%	51.7%	17.2%

Genoa - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 9 - 31%). Parma will win (votes: 5 - 17.2%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 51.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.5% – 69.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Parma (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Parma (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Parma (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leali N. (G) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 20. Sabelli S. 73. Masini P. 32. Frendrup M. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 17. Malinovskyi R. 9. Vitinha 18. Ekuban C.	31. Suzuki Z. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 39. Circati A. 3. Ndiaye A. 27. Britschgi S. 10. Bernabe A. 16. Keita M. 8. Estevez N. 11. Almqvist P. 32. Cutrone P. 9. Pellegrino M.
Substitutes
23. Carboni V. 29. Colombo L. 70. Cornet M. 30. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 21. Ekhator J. 40. Fini S. 11. Gronbaek A. 3. Martin A. 14. Onana J. 34. Otoa S. 31. Siegrist B. (G) 39. Sommariva D. (G) 2. Thorsby M. 76. Venturino L.	19. Begic T. 7. Benedyczak A. 40. Corvi E. (G) 25. Cremaschi B. 30. Djuric M. 23. Hernani 18. Lovik M. 24. Ordonez C. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 22. Sorensen O. 37. Troilo M. 5. Valenti L.
Coaches
Vieira P.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
37', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
42', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
43', Bernabe A. ↓, Valenti L. ↑,
45', Britschgi S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sabelli S. ↓, Carboni V. ↑,
46', Almqvist P. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
58', Vitinha ↓, Venturino L. ↑,
60', Estevez N. 🟨,
66', Frendrup M. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
66', Ekuban C. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
70', Colombo L. 🟨,
79', Cutrone P. ↓, Sorensen O. ↑,
81', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Cornet M. ↑,
87', Estevez N. ↓, Troilo M. ↑,
87', Pellegrino M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
90+5', Troilo M. 🟨,
90+6', Cornet M. (Pen),

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 3.

Recent form of Genoa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Parma's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Parma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Genoa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Genoa: Junior Messias (Thigh Injury) Stanciu N. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ondrejka J. (Broken ankle) Valeri E. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Genoa: Cornet M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Hernani (Ankle Injury) Oristanio G. (Muscle Injury) Valenti L. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:26. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
05.10.25	Napoli - Genoa	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Genoa - Lazio	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
25.09.25	Genoa - Empoli	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Bologna - Genoa	2:1 ✺
15.09.25	Como - Genoa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
04.10.25	Parma - Lecce	0:1 ✺
29.09.25	Parma - Torino	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.25	Parma - Spezia	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Cremonese - Parma	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Cagliari - Parma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.01.25	Genoa - Parma	1:0
04.11.24	Parma - Genoa	0:1
Italian Serie B
05.02.23	Parma - Genoa	2:0
03.09.22	Genoa - Parma	3:3
Italian Serie A
19.03.21	Parma - Genoa	1:2
30.11.20	Genoa - Parma	1:2
23.06.20	Genoa - Parma	1:4

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