Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Brianteo (Monza)

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 GOLD Israel
Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
World	Onefootball


	Monza		Padova

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.35	4.75
	1.85	3.38	5.01
	1.79	3.48	4.87	Watch
	1.92	3.35	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.92)	3.39 ↑ (3.35)	4.64 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
51.9%

Draw
27.8%

Padova
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.6%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Monza - Padova Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Padova (2.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Monza (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Monza will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monza will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Padova (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 4. Izzo A. (C) 13. Ravanelli L. 3. Lucchesi L. 19. Birindelli S. 21. Colombo L. 14. Obiang P. 7. Azzi P. 28. Colpani A. 9. Maric M. 25. Alvarez A.	14. Fortin M. (G) 5. Perrotta M. 32. Sgarbi F. 72. Faedo C. 3. Barreca A. 8. Fusi P. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 7. Varas K. 17. Capelli A. 15. Lasagna K. 20. Bortolussi M.
Substitutes
2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 10. Caprari G. 44. Carboni A. 15. Delli Carri F. 33. Domanico S. 23. Galazzi N. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 43. Strajnar A. (G) 18. Zeroli K.	4. Belli F. 92. Buonaiuto C. 23. Di Maggio L. 30. Favale G. 18. Ghiglione P. 44. Harder J. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 11. Seghetti A. 41. Silva J. 22. Sorrentino A. (G) 55. Villa L.
Coaches
Bianco P.	Andreoletti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Perrotta M. 🟨,
51', 0 - 1, Varas K. ⚽,
52', Birindelli S. 🟨,
57', Colombo L. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
57', Colpani A. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
59', Lasagna K. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
66', Alvarez A. ↓, Caprari G. ↑,
66', Maric M. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
66', Crisetig L. 🟨,
74', Crisetig L. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
75', Varas K. ↓, Harder J. ↑,
81', Barreca A. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
82', Lucchesi L. ↓, Carboni A. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Monza have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Padova is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Padova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Monza is the team to beat.

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Ciurria P. (Red Card) Forson O. (Injury) Zeroli K. (Inactive)

There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Inactive) Boi A. (Inactive) Papu Gomez (Suspended) Pastina C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Padova: Fusi P. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
20.09.25	Monza - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Avellino - Monza	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Bari - Monza	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Monza - Mantova	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Monza - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTWL
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
21.09.25	Padova - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Padova - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Carrarese - Padova	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Empoli - Padova	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.08.25	Padova - Vicenza Virtus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
05.08.18	Padova - Monza	1:0

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