Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 23

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Minelli D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport


	Palermo		Reggina

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.7	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.6
	2.9	3	2.55
	2.9	2.9	2.44
	2.92	3.01	2.83
	3.1	3	2.4
	2.95	2.96	2.63	Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (2.96)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)	2.6 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
32.3%

Draw
31.6%

Reggina
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

30.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

28.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	52.4%	19%

Palermo - Reggina Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Reggina will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 52.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Palermo has the most likely position - 10 (8.76%), has project points - 50, has currently - 31, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 3 (21.34%), has project points - 61, has currently - 39, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (70%), has a chance of promoted (33%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 31, importance 35, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Palermo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Reggio Calabria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Palermo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Palermo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
29.01.23	Ascoli - Palermo	1:2 ✺
20.01.23	Palermo - Bari	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Perugia - Palermo	3:3 ✺
26.12.22	Brescia - Palermo	1:1 ✺
18.12.22	Palermo - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWTTW
- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
28.01.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggina	2:1 ✺
21.01.23	Reggina - Ternana	2:1 ✺
14.01.23	Reggina - SPAL	0:1 ✺
26.12.22	Ascoli - Reggina	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.12.22	Reggina - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.09.22	Reggina - Palermo	3:0
17.04.14	Palermo - Reggina	1:0
16.11.13	Reggina - Palermo	0:2

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