Match Info

Serie B - Round 32

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus


	Palermo		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.38	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.45
	2.6	3.25	2.65	Watch
	2.6	3.31	2.65	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.5
	2.58	3.48	2.63	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.65)	3.32 ↓ (3.34)	2.56 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Palermo
35%

Draw
28.3%

Sassuolo
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

28.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	36.4%	63.6%

Palermo - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sassuolo will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sassuolo: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sassuolo (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Audero E. (G) 27. Pierozzi N. 4. Baniya R. 24. Magnani G. 32. Ceccaroni P. 3. Lund K. 8. Segre J. 28. Blin A. 6. Gomes C. 9. Brunori M. 19. Pohjanpalo J.	31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 19. Romagna F. 20. Lovato M. 3. Doig J. 11. Boloca D. 8. Ghion A. 10. Berardi D. 7. Volpato C. 45. Lauriente A. 9. Mulattieri S.
Substitutes
25. Buttaro A. 1. Desplanches S. (G) 23. Diakite S. 7. Di Mariano F. 20. Henry T. 11. Insigne R. 21. Le Douaron J. 10. Ranocchia F. 46. Sirigu S. (G) 14. Vasic A. 26. Verre V.	33. Bonifazi K. 40. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 80. Muharemovic T. 14. Obiang P. 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 15. Pieragnolo E. 77. Pierini N. 12. Satalino G. (G) 99. Verdi S.
Coaches
Dionisi A.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', Lauriente A. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Blin A. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Toljan J. (Own goal),
45+1', 3 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Mulattieri S. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
46', Volpato C. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
48', Magnani G. 🟨,
55', 4 - 0, Segre J. ⚽, Pohjanpalo J. (A),
61', Toljan J. 🟨,
62', Ghion A. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
63', Lauriente A. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
70', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
73', 4 - 1, Pierini N. ⚽, Boloca D. (A),
74', 4 - 2, Moro L. ⚽, Lipani L. (A),
76', Segre J. 🟨,
79', Blin A. ↓, Verre V. ↑,
79', Segre J. ↓, Ranocchia F. ↑,
81', 5 - 2, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Ranocchia F. (A),
84', 5 - 3, Obiang P. ⚽, Pierini N. (A),

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palermo won 0.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Sassuolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Palermo: Gomis A. (Injury) Nikolaou D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sassuolo: Bonifazi K. (Injury) Mazzitelli L. (Injury) Skjellerup L. (Injury) Thorstvedt K. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Palermo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:11 (average 0.9:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Palermo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Palermo - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.2%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
30.03.25	Salernitana - Palermo	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Palermo - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Sampdoria - Palermo	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Palermo - Brescia	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Nuova Cosenza - Palermo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLTWW
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
29.03.25	Sassuolo - Reggiana	5:1 ✺
15.03.25	Cittadella - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Sassuolo - Bari	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sassuolo - Pisa	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
21.12.24	Sassuolo - Palermo	2:1
Italian Serie A
15.01.17	Sassuolo - Palermo	4:1
21.08.16	Palermo - Sassuolo	0:1
07.02.16	Sassuolo - Palermo	2:2
23.09.15	Palermo - Sassuolo	0:1
02.05.15	Sassuolo - Palermo	0:0
13.12.14	Palermo - Sassuolo	2:1

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