Match Info

Serie B - Round 24

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball


	Sampdoria		Palermo

	1	X	2
	3	2.82	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.55
	3.2	2.92	2.35	Watch
	3.32	2.87	2.61
	3.21	2.99	2.39	Watch
	3	2.7	2.5
	2.89	2.91	2.75	Watch
	3.25	2.85	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.7)	2.91 ↓ (3.22)	2.52 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
30.5%

Draw
32.2%

Palermo
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

28.6%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

28.8%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

The chances for Palermo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	53.3%	46.7%

Sampdoria - Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Palermo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sampdoria (2.35) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Palermo (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Palermo (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sampdoria (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Palermo (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Martinelli T. (G) 17. Hadzikadunic D. 28. Abildgaard O. 2. Viti M. 29. Di Pardo A. 33. Conti F. 16. Henderson L. 7. Cicconi M. 11. Begic T. 99. Brunori M. 77. Pierini N.	66. Joronen J. (G) 29. Peda P. 13. Bani M. 96. Magnani G. 27. Pierozzi N. 10. Ranocchia F. 6. Gomes C. 3. Augello T. 5. Palumbo A. 20. Pohjanpalo J. 7. Johnsen D.
Substitutes
72. Barak A. 34. Casalino T. 10. Cherubini L. 9. Coda M. 38. Diop K. 25. Ferrari A. 1. Ghidotti S. (G) 20. Pafundi S. 8. Ricci M. 5. Riccio A. 92. Soleri E. 31. Vulikic S.	19. Bereszynski B. 28. Blin A. 32. Ceccaroni P. 31. Corona G. 77. Di Bartolo F. (G) 17. Giovane S. 1. Gomis A. (G) 11. Gyasi E. 21. Le Douaron J. 8. Segre J. 14. Vasic A. 72. Veroli D.
Coaches
Gregucci A.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Bani M. 🟨,
40', Gomes C. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Abildgaard O. (Own goal),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Conti F. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
46', Gomes C. ↓, Segre J. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Begic T. ⚽, Di Pardo A. (A),
53', 2 - 1, Pierini N. ⚽, Brunori M. (A),
59', Begic T. 🟨,
62', Peda P. ↓, Ceccaroni P. ↑,
63', Brunori M. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
63', Begic T. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
66', Magnani G. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Cherubini L. ⚽, Hadzikadunic D. (A),
69', Cherubini L. 🟨,
71', Ranocchia F. 🟨,
75', Henderson L. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
77', Le Douaron J. 🟨,
78', 3 - 2, Augello T. ⚽, Johnsen D. (A),
80', Barak A. 🟨,
84', Ranocchia F. ↓, Gyasi E. ↑,
84', Johnsen D. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
90+2', Pierini N. ↓, Riccio A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 3, Ceccaroni P. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 0.

Sampdoria has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Palermo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Palermo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Depaoli F. (Inactive) Esposito Sa. (Inactive) Ferri J. (Inactive) Giordano S. (Inactive) Venuti L. (Injury)

There will not play in Palermo: Modesto R. (Injury) Veroli D. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sampdoria won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	6	5	1	0	14:7	7	16
17	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4

Last Results with these Odds

Palermo - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
07.02.26	Modena - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Sampdoria - Spezia	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Catanzaro - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Sampdoria - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Avellino - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWTTL
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
07.02.26	Palermo - Empoli	3:2 ✺
30.01.26	Bari - Palermo	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Modena - Palermo	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Palermo - Spezia	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Mantova - Palermo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
12.12.25	Palermo - Sampdoria	1:0
08.03.25	Sampdoria - Palermo	1:1
24.11.24	Palermo - Sampdoria	1:1
17.05.24	Palermo - Sampdoria	2:0
06.04.24	Palermo - Sampdoria	2:2
04.11.23	Sampdoria - Palermo	1:0
Italian Serie A
26.02.17	Palermo - Sampdoria	1:1

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