Match Info

Date: 4 May 2021, Tuesday


	Palestino		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.8	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.9
	2.2	3.2	3	Watch
	2.12	3.1	3.25
	2.12	3.46	3.52
	2.2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.08	3.3	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.45)	3.24 (3.24)	3.3 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
43.2%

Draw
28.7%

Newells Old Boys
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

27.1%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

20.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palestino's performance.

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Newells Old Boys aligns with the current prediction.

Palestino - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location - Estadio El Teniente.

Recent matches Palestino is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Newell's Old Boys is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palestino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Palestino will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Palestino - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
22.04.21	Libertad Asuncion - Palestino	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.04.21	Deportes Melipilla - Palestino	0:1 ✺
12.04.21	Palestino - Everton de Viña	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.21	Palestino - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWTW
- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.05.21	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.21	Newells Old Boys - Libertad Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.04.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Newells Old Boys	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.04.21	Atlético Goianiense - Newells Old Boys	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.04.21	Newells Old Boys - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTW

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