Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Canal 11


	Palmeiras		Avaí

	1	X	2
	1.14	7	21	Watch
	1.16	8	18
	1.16	7.5	16
	1.14	7	17
	1.16	8.04	22.2
	1.15	6	21
	1.14	7.7	18.75	Watch
	1.14	6.8	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.16)	7.26 ↑ (6.41)	18.87 ↑ (14.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
82%

Draw
13%

Avaí
5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.4%

14.3%

6.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	6.7%	13.3%

Palmeiras - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Avaí will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 59.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Palmeiras has the most likely position - 1 (97.36%), has project points - 79, has currently - 68, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of win league (97%).

Avaí has the most likely position - 19 (69.93%), has project points - 32, has currently - 28, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 45, small importance 28, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 3.

Palmeiras is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Avaí has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Palmeiras is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Jailson (Injury) Raphael Veiga (Injury)

There will not play in Avaí: Bressan (Injury) Diego Matos (Injury) Paolo Guerrero (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
16.10.22	Palmeiras - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
10.10.22	Atlético Goianiense - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
06.10.22	Palmeiras - Coritiba	4:0 ✺
03.10.22	Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras	1:3 ✺
28.09.22	Atlético Mineiro - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWWW
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie A
16.10.22	Avaí - Fluminense	0:3 ✺
09.10.22	Fortaleza - Avaí	2:0 ✺
06.10.22	Avaí - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Avaí - Atlético Goianiense	1:2 ✺
25.09.22	São Paulo - Avaí	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
26.06.22	Avaí - Palmeiras	2:2
27.10.19	Avaí - Palmeiras	1:2
13.06.19	Palmeiras - Avaí	2:0
20.11.17	Avaí - Palmeiras	2:1
29.07.17	Palmeiras - Avaí	2:0
17.10.15	Avaí - Palmeiras	1:3
08.07.15	Palmeiras - Avaí	3:0

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