Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Palmeiras		Bolívar

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.5	12	Watch
	1.23	6.5	12.5
	1.21	6.4	12	Watch
	1.2	6.75	12.34
	1.23	6.35	12.19	Watch
	1.2	6.5	11	Watch
	1.23	6.73	12.9	Watch
	1.21	6.4	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.2)	6.52 ↓ (6.68)	12.12 ↓ (12.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
77.7%

Draw
14.5%

Bolívar
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.5%

14.1%

7.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Palmeiras - Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Bolívar (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Bolívar (5.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bolívar (4.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Bolívar (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Weverton (G) 2. Marcos Rocha (C) 3. Bruno Fuchs 26. Murilo 22. Piquerez J. 8. Rios R. 32. Martinez E. 7. Felipe Anderson 18. Mauricio 17. Torres F. 9. Vitor Roque	12. Cordano R. (G) 22. Rocha Y. 3. Torren M. 4. Sagredo J. 32. Ramirez R. 14. Robson Matheus 23. Justiniano L. 21. Velasquez J. 80. Melgar C. A. 17. Pato Rodriguez 90. Fabio Gomes
Substitutes
40. Allan 43. Benedetti 42. Flaco Lopez 4. Giay A. 30. Lucas Evangelista 31. Luighi 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 12. Mayke 5. Moreno A. 34. Naves 23. Raphael Veiga 6. Vanderlan	10. Bruno Savio 1. Lampe C. (G) 33. Lanzillotta F. (G) 7. Mena F. 28. Mendez B. 8. Paz L. 5. Quinteros J. 35. Rivero E. 77. Romero D. 18. Sabja L. 6. Vaca Moreno E.
Coaches
Abel Ferreira	Robatto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Murilo ⚽, Piquerez J. (A),
12', 2 - 0, Torres F. ⚽, Mauricio (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Velasquez J. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
64', Torres F. ↓, Luighi ↑,
65', Mauricio ↓, Raphael Veiga ↑,
72', Ramirez R. ↓, Quinteros J. ↑,
72', Melgar C. A. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
73', Vitor Roque ↓, Flaco Lopez ↑,
73', Piquerez J. ↓, Vanderlan ↑,
84', Felipe Anderson ↓, Mayke ↑,

Preview

Palmeiras is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Palmeiras is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bolívar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bolívar has had a series of away games.

In this match, Palmeiras is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Micael (Ankle Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 4.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
11.05.25	Palmeiras - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.25	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.05.25	Vasco da Gama - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.04.25	Ceará - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.04.25	Palmeiras - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL
- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
11.05.25	Aurora - Bolívar	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.25	Sporting Cristal - Bolívar	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.05.25	ABB - Bolívar	0:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
01.05.25	Jorge Wilstermann - Bolívar	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.04.25	Bolívar - Blooming	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
24.04.25	Bolívar - Palmeiras	2:3
29.06.23	Palmeiras - Bolívar	4:0
05.04.23	Bolívar - Palmeiras	3:1
30.09.20	Palmeiras - Bolívar	5:0
16.09.20	Bolívar - Palmeiras	1:2

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