Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Allianz Parque (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Alves Batista E. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Palmeiras		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.33	8.5	Watch
	1.34	5	8.5
	1.34	4.6	7.5
	1.3	5.1	8.87
	1.29	4.33	9.5
	1.33	4.85	8.5	Watch
	1.3	4.7	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)	4.7 ↑ (4.5)	8.51 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras
69.7%

Draw
19.5%

São Bernardo
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19.7%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Palmeiras - São Bernardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 4.

Palmeiras is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches São Bernardo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Palmeiras could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Palmeiras is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Palmeiras to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Palmeiras won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Palmeiras won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.03.23	Guarani - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Palmeiras - Ferroviária	2:1 ✺
22.02.23	Palmeiras - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
16.02.23	Corinthians - Palmeiras	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	Água Santa - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWTW
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
05.03.23	São Bernardo - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	São Bernardo - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.02.23	São Paulo - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
22.02.23	Ituano - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
19.02.23	São Bernardo - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
29.01.22	São Bernardo - Palmeiras	1:1
16.02.17	Palmeiras - São Bernardo	2:0
18.04.16	Palmeiras - São Bernardo	2:0
22.03.15	São Bernardo - Palmeiras	0:1
27.02.14	Palmeiras - São Bernardo	2:0
31.01.13	Palmeiras - São Bernardo	3:0

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