Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Olympic Stadium of Athens (Athens) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 4
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	18:45	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 3, Moja TV
Brazil	13:45	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 2
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	ANT1, Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:45	Sport 1
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 9, New World TV
Georgia	20:45	Setanta Sports 1, Silk Universal
Germany	18:45	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	19:45	ANT 1 Greece, Cosmote Sport 4K, COSMOTE Sport 5
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	16:45	Stod 2 Sport 4
India	22:15	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	19:45	Sport 2
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254
Kazakhstan	22:45	Q Sport Arena
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	10:45	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports 2
Mongolia	00:45	Premier Sports 4
Montenegro	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	23:15	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	05:45	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
North Macedonia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 6
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 2
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	00:45	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 2
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 9, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	17:45	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
International	16:45	Disney+, JioTV app


	Panathinaikos		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.53
	5	4.2	1.52
	5.5	4.5	1.52	Watch
	5.88	4.48	1.53
	4.75	4.21	1.62	Watch
	5.49	4.53	1.58
	5.5	4.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.45 ↑ (4.3)	4.42 ↑ (3.5)	1.55 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
17.4%

Draw
21.4%

Chelsea
61.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.6%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

26.3%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelsea's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.9%	7.1%	81%

Panathinaikos - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (34 of 42 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.07% – 92.83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Dragowski B. (G) 27. Kotsiras G. 5. Schenkeveld B. (C) 21. Jedvaj T. 25. Mladenovic F. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 20. Maksimovic N. 17. Mancini D. 8. Ounahi A. 28. Pellistri F. 29. Jeremejeff A.	12. Jorgensen F. (G) 40. Veiga R. 5. Badiashile B. 2. Disasi A. 3. Cucurella M. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 14. Joao Felix 7. Neto P. 18. Nkunku C. 10. Mudryk M.
Substitutes
55. Arao W. 11. Bakasetas A. 30. Bregou A. 31. Djuricic F. 26. Fikaj E. 15. Ingason S. I. 81. Lilo K. (G) 1. Lodygin Y. (G) 80. Ntampizas A. 9. Sporar A. 10. Tete 2. Vagiannidis G.	4. Adarabioyo T. 47. Bergstrom L. (G) 31. Casadei C. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 32. George T. 38. Guiu M. 11. Madueke N. 76. Mheuka S. 51. Rak-Sakyi S. 1. Sanchez R. (G) 19. Sancho J.
Coaches
Alonso D.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Joao Felix ⚽, Mudryk M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 0 - 2, Mudryk M. ⚽, Neto P. (A),
55', 0 - 3, Joao Felix ⚽, Mudryk M. (A),
58', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
59', 0 - 4, Nkunku C. (Pen),
60', Mladenovic F. ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
60', Mancini D. ↓, Tete ↑,
61', Neto P. ↓, George T. ↑,
61', Nkunku C. ↓, Guiu M. ↑,
69', 1 - 4, Pellistri F. ⚽, Vagiannidis G. (A),
70', Pellistri F. ↓, Djuricic F. ↑,
71', Fernandez E. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
71', Jeremejeff A. ↓, Sporar A. ↑,
77', Dewsbury-Hall K. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
80', Ounahi A. ↓, Bakasetas A. ↑,
90+2', Disasi A. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Panathinaikos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chelsea is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Chelsea have a series of home games.

In this match Chelsea is a favorite.

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Ioannidis F. (Injury) Magnusson H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Caicedo M. (Inactive) Colwill L. (Inactive) Fofana W. (Inactive) Gusto M. (Inactive) Jackson N. (Inactive) James R. (Inactive) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury) Lavia R. (Inactive) Palmer C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Chilwell B. (Illness) Jorgensen F. (Head Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
20.10.24	OFI - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Borac Banja Luka - Panathinaikos	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
29.09.24	AEK Athens - Panathinaikos	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Panathinaikos - Panserraikos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTLW
- Chelsea
English Premier League
20.10.24	Liverpool - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Chelsea - Gent	4:2 ✺
English Premier League
28.09.24	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2 ✺
English League Cup
24.09.24	Chelsea - Barrow	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWWW

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