Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Olympic Stadium of Athens (Athens)

Referee: Nobre A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Panathinaikos		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.53
	5	4.2	1.52
	5.5	4.5	1.52	Watch
	5.88	4.48	1.53
	4.75	4.21	1.62	Watch
	5.49	4.53	1.58
	5.5	4.5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.45 ↑ (4.3)	4.42 ↑ (3.5)	1.55 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
17.4%

Draw
21.4%

Chelsea
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.6%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

26.3%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelsea's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chelsea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.9%	7.1%	81%

Panathinaikos - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (34 of 42 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.07% – 92.83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
69. Dragowski B. (G) 27. Kotsiras G. 5. Schenkeveld B. (C) 21. Jedvaj T. 25. Mladenovic F. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 20. Maksimovic N. 17. Mancini D. 8. Ounahi A. 28. Pellistri F. 29. Jeremejeff A.	12. Jorgensen F. (G) 40. Veiga R. 5. Badiashile B. 2. Disasi A. 3. Cucurella M. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 14. Joao Felix 7. Neto P. 18. Nkunku C. 10. Mudryk M.
Substitutes
55. Arao W. 11. Bakasetas A. 30. Bregou A. 31. Djuricic F. 26. Fikaj E. 15. Ingason S. I. 81. Lilo K. (G) 1. Lodygin Y. (G) 80. Ntampizas A. 9. Sporar A. 10. Tete 2. Vagiannidis G.	4. Adarabioyo T. 47. Bergstrom L. (G) 31. Casadei C. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 32. George T. 38. Guiu M. 11. Madueke N. 76. Mheuka S. 51. Rak-Sakyi S. 1. Sanchez R. (G) 19. Sancho J.
Coaches
Alonso D.	Maresca E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Joao Felix ⚽, Mudryk M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 0 - 2, Mudryk M. ⚽, Neto P. (A),
55', 0 - 3, Joao Felix ⚽, Mudryk M. (A),
58', Mladenovic F. 🟨,
59', 0 - 4, Nkunku C. (Pen),
60', Mladenovic F. ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
60', Mancini D. ↓, Tete ↑,
61', Neto P. ↓, George T. ↑,
61', Nkunku C. ↓, Guiu M. ↑,
69', 1 - 4, Pellistri F. ⚽, Vagiannidis G. (A),
70', Pellistri F. ↓, Djuricic F. ↑,
71', Fernandez E. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
71', Jeremejeff A. ↓, Sporar A. ↑,
77', Dewsbury-Hall K. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
80', Ounahi A. ↓, Bakasetas A. ↑,
90+2', Disasi A. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Panathinaikos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chelsea is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Chelsea have a series of home games.

In this match Chelsea is a favorite.

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Ioannidis F. (Injury) Magnusson H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Caicedo M. (Inactive) Colwill L. (Inactive) Fofana W. (Inactive) Gusto M. (Inactive) Jackson N. (Inactive) James R. (Inactive) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury) Lavia R. (Inactive) Palmer C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Chilwell B. (Illness) Jorgensen F. (Head Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
20.10.24	OFI - Panathinaikos	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Panathinaikos - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Borac Banja Luka - Panathinaikos	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
29.09.24	AEK Athens - Panathinaikos	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Panathinaikos - Panserraikos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTLW
- Chelsea
English Premier League
20.10.24	Liverpool - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Chelsea - Gent	4:2 ✺
English Premier League
28.09.24	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2 ✺
English League Cup
24.09.24	Chelsea - Barrow	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWWW

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