Match Info

Premier League - Round 35

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	Now Player
Iceland	SÝN, SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, TeleXitos, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Chelsea		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	4.75
	1.71	3.9	4.6
	1.72	4	4.75
	1.75	4	4.9
	1.73	4.15	4.73	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.5
	1.77	4.06	4.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)	3.97 ↓ (3.98)	4.74 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
55.5%

Draw
24.2%

Nottingham Forest
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.1%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24.5%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.2%	13.8%	19%

Chelsea - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 38 - 66.7%). Nottingham will win (votes: 11 - 19.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 54.5% – 78.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - draw (2.62) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (2.35) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

EH -1 - Chelsea (2.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Chelsea (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chelsea will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Nottingham (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 23. Chalobah T. 4. Adarabioyo T. 3. Cucurella M. 45. Lavia R. 25. Caicedo M. 10. Palmer C. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 55. Derry J. 20. Joao Pedro	26. Sels M. (G) 44. Abbott Z. 23. Cunha 4. Morato 25. Netz L. 24. McAtee J. 16. Dominguez N. 22. Yates R. (C) 29. Bakwa D. 19. Igor Jesus 9. Awoniyi T.
Substitutes
34. Acheampong J. 17. Andrey Santos 6. Colwill L. 9. Delap L. 14. Essugo D. 29. Fofana W. 21. Hato J. 24. James R. 12. Jorgensen F. (G)	8. Anderson E. 17. da Silva Moreira E. 10. Gibbs-White M. 21. Hutchinson O. 20. Lucca L. 31. Milenkovic N. 27. Ortega S. (G) 3. Williams N. 11. Wood Ch.
Coaches
McFarlane C.	Pereira V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Awoniyi T. ⚽, Bakwa D. (A),
10', Morato 🟨,
14', Gusto M. 🟨,
15', 0 - 2, Igor Jesus (Penalty Awarded),
45+5', Abbott Z. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
45+9', Derry J. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
45+10', Palmer C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Adarabioyo T. ↓, Colwill L. ↑,
46', Cunha ↓, Milenkovic N. ↑,
46', Dominguez N. ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
46', Igor Jesus ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Awoniyi T. ⚽, Gibbs-White M. (A),
58', Lavia R. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
66', Gibbs-White M. ↓, Wood Ch. ↑,
66', Sanchez R. ↓, Jorgensen F. ↑,
78', Caicedo M. 🟨,
78', Delap L. 🟨,
80', Bakwa D. ↓, Hutchinson O. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Joao Pedro ⚽, Cucurella M. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 3.

In recent matches, Chelsea has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nottingham is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Chelsea is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Estêvão (Hamstring Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There will not play in Nottingham: Boly W. (Knee Injury) Hudson-Odoi C. (Injury) John Victor (Knee Injury) Savona N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Colwill L. (Lacking Match Fitness) Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) James R. (Hamstring Injury) Jorgensen F. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Cunha (Shoulder Injury) Murillo (Muscle Injury) Ndoye D. (Injury) Sangare I. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelsea won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10:12	-2	7
13	Nottingham	5	1	2	2	4:5	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English FA Cup
26.04.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
21.04.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Chelsea - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Chelsea - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
04.04.26	Chelsea - Port Vale	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW
- Nottingham Forest
UEFA Europa League
30.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.04.26	Sunderland - Nottingham Forest	0:5 ✺
19.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Burnley	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Porto	1:0 ✺
English Premier League
12.04.26	Nottingham Forest - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
18.10.25	Nottingham Forest - Chelsea	0:3
25.05.25	Nottingham Forest - Chelsea	0:1
06.10.24	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	1:1
11.05.24	Nottingham Forest - Chelsea	2:3
02.09.23	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	0:1
13.05.23	Chelsea - Nottingham Forest	2:2
01.01.23	Nottingham Forest - Chelsea	1:1

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