Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 32

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Paris FC		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.6
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.78	3.62	5.07
	1.75	3.4	4.6
	1.75	3.7	4.65	Watch
	1.76	3.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.81)	3.53 ↓ (3.65)	4.82 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
53.9%

Draw
26.6%

Nîmes
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.7%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25.1%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Paris FC - Nîmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Nîmes will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Paris FC has the most likely position - 11 (19.71%), project points - 50, currently - 40, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Nîmes has the most likely position - 19 (23.93%), project points - 38, currently - 29, a good chance of relegated (73%), not chance of promoted.

This event has quality 31, small importance 30, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Paris FC is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
15.04.23	Caen - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Paris FC - Saint-Étienne	2:4 ✺
01.04.23	Valenciennes - Paris FC	4:5 ✺
18.03.23	Paris FC - Bastia	0:1 ✺
14.03.23	Paris FC - Amiens	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLW
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 2
15.04.23	Nîmes - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Amiens - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Nîmes - Annecy	4:0 ✺
18.03.23	Bordeaux - Nîmes	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Nîmes - Quevilly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
01.10.22	Nîmes - Paris FC	0:1
05.03.22	Nîmes - Paris FC	1:1
21.09.21	Paris FC - Nîmes	2:0
03.03.18	Nîmes - Paris FC	2:1
29.09.17	Paris FC - Nîmes	2:1
12.02.16	Paris FC - Nîmes	0:0
22.09.15	Nîmes - Paris FC	1:1

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