Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Toulliou W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Paris FC		Niort

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5	Watch
	1.71	3.5	5
	1.7	3.65	4.7
	1.72	3.62	5.54
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.71	3.64	5.05	Watch
	1.72	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.82)	3.57 ↑ (3.36)	5.04 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
55%

Draw
26.3%

Niort
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

27.6%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

27.2%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Paris FC - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: Paris FC will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Paris FC has the most likely position - 13 (9.53%), has project points - 49, has currently - 28, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (23.91%), has project points - 38, has currently - 23, has a good chance of relegated (73%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 28, importance 41, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 1.

Paris FC has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Niort is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Niort could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paris FC is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
18.02.23	Bordeaux - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
08.02.23	Paris FC - Annecy	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
31.01.23	Paris FC - Pau	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Quevilly - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLL
- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
18.02.23	Le Havre - Niort	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Niort - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
03.02.23	Dijon - Niort	0:1 ✺
31.01.23	Niort - Amiens	1:3 ✺
28.01.23	Nîmes - Niort	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.08.22	Niort - Paris FC	2:1
12.03.22	Paris FC - Niort	2:0
24.09.21	Niort - Paris FC	4:1
02.02.21	Paris FC - Niort	3:3
26.09.20	Niort - Paris FC	2:2
31.01.20	Niort - Paris FC	4:4
16.08.19	Paris FC - Niort	0:1

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