Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Océane (Le Havre)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Italy	Ligue 1+
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV6
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Le Havre		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.63	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.55
	2.97	3.24	2.62
	2.85	3.21	2.56	Watch
	2.8	3	2.5
	2.95	3.15	2.67	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.77)	3.16 ↓ (3.32)	2.59 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
33%

Draw
30.2%

Paris FC
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.5%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.9%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	36%	24%

Le Havre - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Paris FC will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 18.1% – 56.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Paris FC (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Paris FC (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Diaw M. (G) 7. Nego L. 93. Sangante A. 4. Lloris G. 18. Zouaoui Y. 15. Seko A. 70. Samatta A. 26. Ebonog S. 14. Ndiaye R. 45. Soumare I. 11. Kyeremeh G.	35. Trapp K. (G) 14. Traore H. 5. Mbow M. 6. Otavio 2. Ollila T. 17. Camara A. 10. Kebbal I. 4. Marchetti V. 21. Lopez M. (C) 27. Simon M. 11. Krasso J.
Substitutes
13. Doucoure F. 8. Kechta Y. 10. Mambimbi F. 78. Mosengo D. N. 77. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 21. Namli Y. 34. Vinette E. K. 6. Youte Kinkoue E. 33. Zagadou S.	13. Cafaro M. 28. De Smet T. 12. Dicko N. 9. Geubbels W. 7. Gory A. 93. Ikone J. 15. Kolodziejczak T. 20. Lopez J. 16. Nkambadio O. (G)
Coaches
Digard D.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Ebonog S. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Marchetti V. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
66', Simon M. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
72', Krasso J. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
72', Ollila T. ↓, De Smet T. ↑,
73', Samatta A. ↓, Zagadou S. ↑,
73', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
77', Lopez M. 🟨,
77', Soumare I. (Penalty Awarded),
84', Sangante A. ↓, Youte Kinkoue E. ↑,
84', Ndiaye R. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
89', Kebbal I. ↓, Kolodziejczak T. ↑,
90', Camara A. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Le Havre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Le Havre: Delaine T. (Toe Injury) Pizarro D. (Injury) Toure A. (Injury) Zagadou S. (Injury)

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Chergui S. (Hamstring Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 1
30.11.25	Le Havre - Lille	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Le Havre - Nantes	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Toulouse - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
29.10.25	Le Havre - Brest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTTW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
29.11.25	Paris FC - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Lille - Paris FC	4:2 ✺
07.11.25	Paris FC - Rennes	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Monaco - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
29.10.25	Paris FC - Lyon	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.25	Paris FC - Le Havre	1:1
French Ligue 2
03.02.23	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:0
30.12.22	Paris FC - Le Havre	0:0
17.01.22	Paris FC - Le Havre	2:2
07.08.21	Le Havre - Paris FC	1:2
06.02.21	Le Havre - Paris FC	1:0
Coupe De France
19.01.21	Le Havre - Paris FC	0:1

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